Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Chase Ferguson, giving them a 53% chance to win against Sam Ryan Ziegann (47%). Sam Ryan Ziegann leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ziegann is 6-4 in their last 10, Ferguson 5-5. At +197, the odds imply 34% for Sam Ryan Ziegann, below the model's 47%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Chase Ferguson a 53% favorite. At +197 the sportsbook implies 34% for Sam Ryan Ziegann, 14 points below the model's 47%.
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sam Ryan Ziegann at +197 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sam Ryan Ziegann | Chase Ferguson | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6272 | 6350 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1273 | ATP #959 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 51-35 | 36-28 |
| UTR | 12.97 | 13.13 |
Head to head
Sam Ryan Ziegann leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Sam Ryan Ziegann | 6-3, 6-2 | Australia Tamworth I |
Recent form
Sam Ryan Ziegann, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Chase Ferguson | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Chen Dong | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Enzo Aguiard | L | 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Harrison Satara | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Philip Sekulic | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 08.10.2026 | Joshua Charlton | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Luca Connaughton | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Jake Delaney | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 14.09.2026 | Filip Peliwo | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 13.09.2026 | Thantub Suksumrarn | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
Chase Ferguson, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Sam Ryan Ziegann | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Scott Jones | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Isaac Becroft | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 28.09.2026 | Omar Jasika | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Alibek Kachmazov | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 23.09.2026 | Nino Ehrenschneider | W | 6-4, 1-6, 6-1 |
| 19.09.2026 | Yunseong Chung | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 18.09.2026 | Sheng Tang | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 17.09.2026 | Zhenxiong Dong | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 16.09.2026 | Minghui Zhang | W | 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sam Ryan Ziegann | Chase Ferguson |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Weber | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-0 |
2-1 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-4, L 7-5, 6-3 |
| Enzo Aguiard | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Fanming Meng | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
0-2 L 6-4, 6-3, L 6-1, 7-6 |
| Isaac Becroft | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
| Jake Delaney | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-7, 7-6 |
| Keisuke Saitoh | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
1-1 L 6-2, 6-3, W 6-4, 6-3 |
| M Rifqi Fitriadi | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-2 L 7-5, 6-2, L 6-2, 6-2, W 7-6, 6-0 |
| Moerani Bouzige | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Noritaka Koizumi | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Omar Jasika | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-1 |
| Shintaro Imai | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-7, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Thanapet Chanta | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Thantub Suksumrarn | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Yuta Kawahashi | 2-0 W 6-4, 6-4, W 1-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Tamworth I (Australia), model gave Sam Ryan Ziegann 47% at +197
Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson: quick answers
Who will win Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Chase Ferguson, giving them a 53% chance to win against Sam Ryan Ziegann (47%).
What is the head-to-head record between Sam Ryan Ziegann and Chase Ferguson?
Sam Ryan Ziegann leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Sam Ryan Ziegann 6-3, 6-2 at Australia Tamworth I.
Who is in better form, Sam Ryan Ziegann or Chase Ferguson?
Sam Ryan Ziegann is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Chase Ferguson is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sam Ryan Ziegann and Chase Ferguson?
Sam Ryan Ziegann is rated 6272 (ATP #1273) and Chase Ferguson is rated 6350 (ATP #959). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson?
Sam Ryan Ziegann is priced at +197 and Chase Ferguson at -278, which implies a 34% and 74% chance to win. The model rates Sam Ryan Ziegann 14 points higher than the odds do (47% vs 34%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.