Lani Chang vs Amelie Smejkalova
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Amelie Smejkalova, giving them a 76% chance to win against Lani Chang (24%). Chang is 4-5 in their last 10, Smejkalova 7-3. At -111, the odds imply 53% for Amelie Smejkalova, below the model's 76%.
Prediction
The model makes Amelie Smejkalova a 76% favorite. At -111 the sportsbook implies 53% for Amelie Smejkalova, 23 points below the model's 76%.
Model minus book: -32 pts
Model minus book: +23 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Amelie Smejkalova at -111 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Lani Chang | Amelie Smejkalova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6329 | 6126 |
| Tour rank | WTA #904 | WTA #1580 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-5 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 2-0 | 4-0 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 4 Wins |
| Season record | 4-5 | 20-7 |
| UTR | 9.68 | 10.33 |
Head to head
Lani Chang and Amelie Smejkalova haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Lani Chang, last 9
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Celia Anson Sanchez | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 06.07.2026 | Jana Kovackova | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 31.05.2026 | Felitsata Dorofeeva Rybas | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-7 |
| 05.05.2026 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 04.05.2026 | Zoe Hitt | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 20.04.2026 | Isabel Adrover Gallego | L | 2-6, 6-2, 10-8 |
| 15.04.2026 | Ana Candiotto | L | 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 11.02.2026 | Victoria Lopez Ocampos | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
Amelie Smejkalova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Kallista Liu | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Jensen Diianni | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Lena Thomas Iglesias | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 26.10.2026 | Celine Simunyu | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 20.09.2026 | Jana Stojanova | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 19.09.2026 | Addison Bowman | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Lillie Murphy | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 11.09.2026 | Elizabeth Isyanov | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 11.09.2026 | Catherine Rennard | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 15.07.2026 | Sofia Camila Rojas | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: WTA Sumter (X) (USA), model gave Lani Chang 24% at -130
- 2026-10-31: WTA Sumter (X) (USA), model gave Lani Chang 24% at -130
- 2026-10-30: WTA Sumter (X) (USA), model gave Lani Chang 24% at -130
Lani Chang vs Amelie Smejkalova: quick answers
Who will win Lani Chang vs Amelie Smejkalova?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Amelie Smejkalova, giving them a 76% chance to win against Lani Chang (24%).
Have Lani Chang and Amelie Smejkalova played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Lani Chang or Amelie Smejkalova?
Lani Chang is 4-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Amelie Smejkalova is 7-3 (current streak: 4 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Lani Chang and Amelie Smejkalova?
Lani Chang is rated 6329 (WTA #904) and Amelie Smejkalova is rated 6126 (WTA #1580). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Lani Chang vs Amelie Smejkalova?
Lani Chang is priced at -130 and Amelie Smejkalova at -111, which implies a 57% and 53% chance to win. The model rates Amelie Smejkalova 23 points higher than the odds do (76% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.