Jan Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Nuno Borges, giving them a 65% chance to win against Jan Lennard Struff (35%). Nuno Borges leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Struff is 7-3 in their last 10, Borges 6-4. At -103, the odds imply 51% for Nuno Borges, below the model's 65%.
Prediction
The model makes Nuno Borges a 65% favorite. At -103 the sportsbook implies 51% for Nuno Borges, 15 points below the model's 65%.
Model minus book: -20 pts
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nuno Borges at -103 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Jan Lennard Struff | Nuno Borges | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6912 | 6922 |
| Tour rank | ATP #32 | ATP #26 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 7-2 | 3-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 32-27 | 31-28 |
| UTR | 15.57 | 15.85 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1745 | 1814 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Nuno Borges leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.06.2026 | Nuno Borges | 6-4, 7-5 | Spain Mallorca |
Recent form
Jan Lennard Struff, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Novak Djokovic | W | 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Yannick Hanfmann | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 25.10.2026 | Tallon Griekspoor | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | W | 6-4, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Zizou Bergs | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Gauthier Onclin | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Marcos Giron | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 03.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
Nuno Borges, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Casper Ruud | W | 1-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Mika Brunold | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Novak Djokovic | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 19.09.2026 | Diego Duran | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 01.09.2026 | Learner Tien | L | 6-4, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 20.08.2026 | Brandon Nakashima | L | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 18.08.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.08.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Jan Lennard Struff | Nuno Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Emilio Nava | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0-1 L 5-7, 7-5, 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| James Duckworth | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| Jannik Sinner | 0-1 L 7-5, 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| Jiri Lehecka | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Marcos Giron | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
| Mariano Navone | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Novak Djokovic | 1-0 W 6-7, 7-5, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | 1-0 W 7-6, 2-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
4-0 W 6-4, 6-2, W 6-3, 6-4, 6-2, W 6-3, 7-6, W 7-5, 3-6, 7-6 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Basel (Switzerland), model gave Jan Lennard Struff 35% at -120
- 2026-10-31: ATP Basel (Switzerland), model gave Jan Lennard Struff 35% at -120
- 2026-10-30: ATP Basel (Switzerland), model gave Jan Lennard Struff 35% at -120
Jan Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges: quick answers
Who will win Jan Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Nuno Borges, giving them a 65% chance to win against Jan Lennard Struff (35%).
What is the head-to-head record between Jan Lennard Struff and Nuno Borges?
Nuno Borges leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on June 23, 2026, won by Nuno Borges 6-4, 7-5 at Spain Mallorca.
Who is in better form, Jan Lennard Struff or Nuno Borges?
Jan Lennard Struff is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Nuno Borges is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Jan Lennard Struff and Nuno Borges?
Jan Lennard Struff is rated 6912 (ATP #32) and Nuno Borges is rated 6922 (ATP #26). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Jan Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borges?
Jan Lennard Struff is priced at -120 and Nuno Borges at -103, which implies a 55% and 51% chance to win. The model rates Nuno Borges 15 points higher than the odds do (65% vs 51%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.