Blake Ellis vs Benjamin O'Connell
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Blake Ellis, giving them a 83% chance to win against Benjamin O'Connell (17%). Blake Ellis leads 2-1 in their head-to-head. Ellis is 7-3 in their last 10, O'Connell 2-8. At -333, the odds imply 77% for Blake Ellis, below the model's 83%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Blake Ellis a 83% favorite. At -333 the sportsbook implies 77% for Blake Ellis, 6 points below the model's 83%.
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Blake Ellis at -333 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Blake Ellis | Benjamin O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6439 | 6305 |
| Tour rank | ATP #670 | ATP #1134 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 5 Losses |
| Season record | 28-24 | 18-27 |
| UTR | 13.63 | 13.02 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1418 | – |
| Best surface | Hard | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Blake Ellis leads 2-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Blake Ellis | 6-3, 6-4 | Australia Tamworth |
| 08.09.2026 | Blake Ellis | 7-6, 6-3 | Vietnam Phan Thiet |
| 16.07.2026 | Benjamin O'Connell | 6-4, 6-1 | Australia Brisbane |
Recent form
Blake Ellis, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Harrison Satara | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Pavle Marinkov | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 25.10.2026 | Isaac Becroft | L | 7-6, 5-7, 7-5 |
| 24.10.2026 | Herman Hoeyeraal | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Stefan Vujic | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Zane Stevens | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Benjamin O'Connell | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Arjun Mehrotra | L | 3-6, 7-6 |
| 17.09.2026 | Ilia Simakin | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 16.09.2026 | Hiroki Moriya | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
Benjamin O'Connell, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Enzo Aguiard | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Blake Ellis | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Scott Jones | L | 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Blake Ellis | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Taisei Ichikawa | W | 6-7, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 06.09.2026 | S D Prajwal Dev | W | 4-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 03.09.2026 | Thanapet Chanta | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 01.09.2026 | Keerthivassan Suresh | W | 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 22.07.2026 | Zachary Viiala | L | 3-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Blake Ellis | Benjamin O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Enzo Aguiard | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 7-5 |
| Isaac Becroft | 0-1 L 7-6, 5-7, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
| Pavle Marinkov | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-1, L 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Stefan Vujic | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Blake Ellis 83% at -333
- 2026-10-26: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Blake Ellis 83% at -333
- 2026-10-25: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Blake Ellis 83% at -333
- 2026-10-24: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Blake Ellis 83% at -333
- 2026-10-23: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Blake Ellis 83% at -333
- 2026-10-22: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Blake Ellis 83% at -333
- 2026-10-21: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Blake Ellis 83% at -333
- 2026-10-20: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Blake Ellis 83% at -294
Blake Ellis vs Benjamin O'Connell: quick answers
Who will win Blake Ellis vs Benjamin O'Connell?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Blake Ellis, giving them a 83% chance to win against Benjamin O'Connell (17%).
What is the head-to-head record between Blake Ellis and Benjamin O'Connell?
Blake Ellis leads 2-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Blake Ellis 6-3, 6-4 at Australia Tamworth.
Who is in better form, Blake Ellis or Benjamin O'Connell?
Blake Ellis is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Benjamin O'Connell is 2-8 (current streak: 5 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Blake Ellis and Benjamin O'Connell?
Blake Ellis is rated 6439 (ATP #670) and Benjamin O'Connell is rated 6305 (ATP #1134). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Blake Ellis vs Benjamin O'Connell?
Blake Ellis is priced at -333 and Benjamin O'Connell at +185, which implies a 77% and 35% chance to win. The model rates Blake Ellis 6 points higher than the odds do (83% vs 77%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.