Mikeal Carpenter vs Nischal Spurling
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Nischal Spurling, giving them a 55% chance to win against Mikeal Carpenter (45%). Carpenter is 2-6 in their last 10, Spurling 5-5. At +231, the odds imply 30% for Mikeal Carpenter, below the model's 45%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Nischal Spurling a 55% favorite. At +231 the sportsbook implies 30% for Mikeal Carpenter, 15 points below the model's 45%.
Model minus book: +15 pts
Model minus book: -26 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mikeal Carpenter at +231 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Mikeal Carpenter | Nischal Spurling | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5864 | 6078 |
| Tour rank | ATP #3772 | ATP #2355 |
| Last 10 matches | 2-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Current streak | 6 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 2-6 | 20-20 |
| UTR | 12.12 | 12.42 |
Head to head
Mikeal Carpenter and Nischal Spurling haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Mikeal Carpenter, last 8
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Shaurya Bharadwaj | L | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 27.10.2026 | Oskar Szymczak | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | William Burridge | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 07.03.2026 | Roman Sancilio | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 06.03.2026 | Adrien Burdet | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 04.03.2026 | Daniil Berezin | L | 3-6, 6-1, 6-3 |
| 03.03.2026 | Omar Rhazali | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 02.03.2026 | Shaheed Alam | W | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
Nischal Spurling, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Anthony Moukarzel | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | William Burridge | W | 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 26.10.2026 | Oskar Szymczak | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | David Ekpenyong | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 26.09.2026 | Noah Zeiger | L | 7-6, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 20.09.2026 | Lachlan Gaskell | L | 2-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Oscar Andres Martinez De Freitas | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.09.2026 | Julien Doitteau | W | 6-4, 5-7, 6-2 |
| 12.09.2026 | Luca Preda | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 11.09.2026 | Eyal Shumilov | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Mikeal Carpenter | Nischal Spurling |
|---|---|---|
| Oskar Szymczak | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Shaurya Bharadwaj | 0-1 L 7-5, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
| William Burridge | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
1-0 W 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Mikeal Carpenter 45% at +231
Mikeal Carpenter vs Nischal Spurling: quick answers
Who will win Mikeal Carpenter vs Nischal Spurling?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Nischal Spurling, giving them a 55% chance to win against Mikeal Carpenter (45%).
Have Mikeal Carpenter and Nischal Spurling played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Mikeal Carpenter or Nischal Spurling?
Mikeal Carpenter is 2-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 6 Losses). Nischal Spurling is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Mikeal Carpenter and Nischal Spurling?
Mikeal Carpenter is rated 5864 (ATP #3772) and Nischal Spurling is rated 6078 (ATP #2355). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Mikeal Carpenter vs Nischal Spurling?
Mikeal Carpenter is priced at +231 and Nischal Spurling at -417, which implies a 30% and 81% chance to win. The model rates Mikeal Carpenter 15 points higher than the odds do (45% vs 30%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.