Taiyo Hirano vs Haru Kawanaka
Updated
Haru Kawanaka beat Taiyo Hirano 6-3, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Taiyo Hirano at 61%. Haru Kawanaka leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Hirano is 4-6 in their last 10, Kawanaka 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Taiyo Hirano a 61% favorite. At +243 the sportsbook implies 29% for Haru Kawanaka, 9 points below the model's 39%.
Model minus book: -19 pts
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Haru Kawanaka at +243 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Taiyo Hirano | Haru Kawanaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5818 | 5943 |
| Tour rank | ATP #4086 | ATP #3295 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Current streak | 3 Wins | 1 Win |
| Season record | 6-7 | 9-17 |
| UTR | 12.01 | 11.27 |
Head to head
Haru Kawanaka leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Haru Kawanaka | 6-3, 7-6 | Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Taiyo Hirano, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Alexey Shtengelov | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sota Kambara | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sota Kambara | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Keisuke Ota | L | 7-6, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Hien Quang Hien Pham | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Aruth Chinsupakul | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 12.10.2026 | Haru Kawanaka | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 15.02.2026 | Gianluca Ballotta | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 08.02.2026 | Niels Hoffmann | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 29.11.2025 | Koyu Yanagi | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
Haru Kawanaka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Aruth Chinsupakul | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Hien Quang Hien Pham | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | Taiyo Hirano | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 05.09.2026 | Christopher Kosei Ono | W | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.09.2026 | Christopher Kosei Ono | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 31.08.2026 | Hyeon Seok Seo | L | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 16.08.2026 | Shotaro Yamamoto | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 14.08.2026 | Kotaro Mochizuki | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.08.2026 | Kenta Kawada | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 05.08.2026 | Manato Uchida | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Taiyo Hirano | Haru Kawanaka |
|---|---|---|
| Aruth Chinsupakul | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-1 |
| Hien Quang Hien Pham | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Kotaro Mochizuki | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Taiyo Hirano 61% at -400
Taiyo Hirano vs Haru Kawanaka: quick answers
Who won Taiyo Hirano vs Haru Kawanaka?
Haru Kawanaka beat Taiyo Hirano 6-3, 7-6, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Taiyo Hirano at 61%.
What is the head-to-head record between Taiyo Hirano and Haru Kawanaka?
Haru Kawanaka leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Haru Kawanaka 6-3, 7-6 at Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Taiyo Hirano or Haru Kawanaka?
Taiyo Hirano is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Wins). Haru Kawanaka is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Win).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Taiyo Hirano and Haru Kawanaka?
Taiyo Hirano is rated 5818 (ATP #4086) and Haru Kawanaka is rated 5943 (ATP #3295). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Taiyo Hirano vs Haru Kawanaka?
Taiyo Hirano is priced at -400 and Haru Kawanaka at +243, which implies a 80% and 29% chance to win. The model rates Haru Kawanaka 9 points higher than the odds do (39% vs 29%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.