Eli Stephenson vs Noah Zamora

ATP Lexington (X) (USA), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 09:00.

Updated

Eli Stephenson beat Noah Zamora 6-3, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Noah Zamora at 61%. Eli Stephenson leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Stephenson is 7-3 in their last 10, Zamora 3-7.

Result: Eli Stephenson beat Noah Zamora 6-3, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Noah Zamora.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Noah Zamora a 61% favorite. At +250 the sportsbook implies 29% for Eli Stephenson, 11 points below the model's 39%.

Model
39%
Book
29%

Model minus book: +11 pts

Model
61%
Book
80%

Model minus book: -19 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Eli Stephenson at +250 · Model track record

Player comparison

Eli StephensonNoah Zamora
Tennis Gauge rating63726338
Tour rankATP #886ATP #1006
Last 10 matches7-33-7
Last 30 days2-02-1
Current streak1 Loss3 Losses
Season record27-2052-27
UTR13.4813.6

Head to head

Eli Stephenson leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Eli Stephenson6-3, 6-3USA Lexington

Recent form

Eli Stephenson, last 10

DateOpponentScore
22.10.2026Jack Anthrop L6-0, 3-6, 6-3
21.10.2026Jonah Braswell W7-5, 6-2
17.10.2026Jack Anthrop L6-1, 3-6, 6-4
16.10.2026Noah Zamora W6-3, 6-3
15.10.2026Nicolas Arseneault W6-2, 1-0
14.10.2026Michael Bassem Sobhy W6-3, 7-5
11.10.2026Nour Fathalla L7-6, 6-4
10.10.2026Oscar Andres Martinez De Freitas W6-4, 6-2
10.10.2026Birtan Duran W6-4, 6-4
09.10.2026Mikkel Zinder W6-4, 7-6

Noah Zamora, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Felix Corwin L6-4, 7-5
21.10.2026Benjamin Willwerth L6-3, 6-3
16.10.2026Eli Stephenson L6-3, 6-3
15.10.2026Pablo Martinez Gomez W6-4, 7-6
14.10.2026Jaden Weekes W3-6, 6-1, 6-1
28.09.2026Kaylan Bigun L6-3, 6-4
13.09.2026Quinn Vandecasteele L6-1, 7-5
13.08.2026Luis Carlos Alvarez L6-2, 4-6, 6-0
12.08.2026James Mccabe W4-6, 6-3, 7-6
30.07.2026Bruno Kuzuhara L7-6, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentEli StephensonNoah Zamora
Emon Van Loben Sels 1-0
W 6-3, 6-7, 6-4
3-0
W 6-2, 6-0, W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4, W 3-6, 6-4, 6-4
Kenta Miyoshi 1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Luis Carlos Alvarez 1-0
W 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 6-2, 4-6, 6-0
Pablo Martinez Gomez 1-0
W 7-6, 7-6
1-1
W 6-4, 7-6, L 4-6, 6-4, 7-6
Timofey Stepanov 0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: ATP Lexington (X) (USA), model gave Eli Stephenson 48% at +250

Eli Stephenson vs Noah Zamora: quick answers

Who won Eli Stephenson vs Noah Zamora?

Eli Stephenson beat Noah Zamora 6-3, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Noah Zamora at 61%.

What is the head-to-head record between Eli Stephenson and Noah Zamora?

Eli Stephenson leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Eli Stephenson 6-3, 6-3 at USA Lexington.

Who is in better form, Eli Stephenson or Noah Zamora?

Eli Stephenson is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Noah Zamora is 3-7 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Eli Stephenson and Noah Zamora?

Eli Stephenson is rated 6372 (ATP #886) and Noah Zamora is rated 6338 (ATP #1006). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Eli Stephenson vs Noah Zamora?

Eli Stephenson is priced at +250 and Noah Zamora at -400, which implies a 29% and 80% chance to win. The model rates Eli Stephenson 11 points higher than the odds do (39% vs 29%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.