Taiyo Hirano vs Alexey Shtengelov
Updated
Taiyo Hirano beat Alexey Shtengelov 6-3, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Taiyo Hirano leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Hirano is 4-6 in their last 10, Shtengelov 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Taiyo Hirano a 64% favorite. At +230 the sportsbook implies 30% for Alexey Shtengelov, 6 points below the model's 36%.
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Alexey Shtengelov at +230 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Taiyo Hirano | Alexey Shtengelov | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5818 | 5615 |
| Tour rank | ATP #4086 | ATP #4972 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Current streak | 3 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 6-7 | 23-28 |
| UTR | 12.01 | 11.13 |
Head to head
Taiyo Hirano leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Taiyo Hirano | 6-3, 6-1 | Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Taiyo Hirano, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Alexey Shtengelov | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sota Kambara | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sota Kambara | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Keisuke Ota | L | 7-6, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Hien Quang Hien Pham | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Aruth Chinsupakul | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 12.10.2026 | Haru Kawanaka | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 15.02.2026 | Gianluca Ballotta | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 08.02.2026 | Niels Hoffmann | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 29.11.2025 | Koyu Yanagi | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
Alexey Shtengelov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Taiyo Hirano | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Aruth Chinsupakul | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Aruth Chinsupakul | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Kazuki Saito | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Keisuke Ota | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kosuke Shibano | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Thomas Linley | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 03.09.2026 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev | L | 1-6, 4-0 |
| 02.09.2026 | Hong Lin Fu | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Jacob Kailiang Shen | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Taiyo Hirano | Alexey Shtengelov |
|---|---|---|
| Aruth Chinsupakul | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-0 |
2-0 W 6-2, 6-2, W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Keisuke Ota | 0-1 L 7-6, 2-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| Kotaro Mochizuki | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Taiyo Hirano 64% at -385
Taiyo Hirano vs Alexey Shtengelov: quick answers
Who won Taiyo Hirano vs Alexey Shtengelov?
Taiyo Hirano beat Alexey Shtengelov 6-3, 6-1, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Taiyo Hirano and Alexey Shtengelov?
Taiyo Hirano leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Taiyo Hirano 6-3, 6-1 at Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Taiyo Hirano or Alexey Shtengelov?
Taiyo Hirano is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Wins). Alexey Shtengelov is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Taiyo Hirano and Alexey Shtengelov?
Taiyo Hirano is rated 5818 (ATP #4086) and Alexey Shtengelov is rated 5615 (ATP #4972). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Taiyo Hirano vs Alexey Shtengelov?
Taiyo Hirano is priced at -385 and Alexey Shtengelov at +230, which implies a 79% and 30% chance to win. The model rates Alexey Shtengelov 6 points higher than the odds do (36% vs 30%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.