Sergey Fomin vs Yusuke Takahashi

ATP Qian Daohu (China), Hard. Friday, October 16, 2026, 11:30.

Updated

Sergey Fomin beat Yusuke Takahashi 6-4, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Yusuke Takahashi at 55%. Sergey Fomin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Fomin is 3-7 in their last 10, Takahashi 3-7.

Result: Sergey Fomin beat Yusuke Takahashi 6-4, 6-1. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Yusuke Takahashi.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Yusuke Takahashi a 55% favorite. At +125 the sportsbook implies 44% for Yusuke Takahashi, 11 points below the model's 55%.

Model
45%
Book
65%

Model minus book: -20 pts

Model
55%
Book
44%

Model minus book: +11 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yusuke Takahashi at +125 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sergey FominYusuke Takahashi
Tennis Gauge rating65226429
Tour rankATP #485ATP #693
Last 10 matches3-73-7
Last 30 days2-23-1
Current streak3 Losses2 Losses
Season record36-3121-29
UTR13.8613.57
Elo (52 weeks)13241268
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Sergey Fomin leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Sergey Fomin6-4, 6-1China Qian Daohu

Recent form

Sergey Fomin, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Liam Broady L5-7, 7-6, 6-2
20.10.2026Tristan Schoolkate L6-2, 4-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Martin Borisiouk L6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Yusuke Takahashi W6-4, 6-1
15.10.2026Matthew Shearer W6-2, 6-2
14.10.2026Dominik Palan W7-6, 7-5
05.10.2026Timofei Derepasko L6-2, 7-6
30.09.2026Sumit Nagal L6-3, 6-2
16.09.2026Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong L6-3, 6-1
08.09.2026Yi Zhou L7-6, 7-5

Yusuke Takahashi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Christian Langmo L3-6, 6-4, 7-5
16.10.2026Sergey Fomin L6-4, 6-1
15.10.2026Jamie Mackenzie W7-6, 4-6, 6-3
13.10.2026Maxim Shin W6-4, 7-6
05.10.2026Keisuke Saitoh L4-6, 6-3, 6-2
04.10.2026Siddhant Banthia W6-3, 6-3
13.09.2026Jesse Delaney L7-6, 7-6
08.09.2026Hikaru Shiraishi L6-3, 6-3
02.09.2026Chase Ferguson L4-6, 6-1, 7-6
28.08.2026Enzo Aguiard L6-3, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSergey FominYusuke Takahashi
Alexandr Binda 2-0
W 6-4, 6-2, W 6-3, 5-7, 6-3
1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
Masamichi Imamura 1-0
W 6-2, 6-1
0-1
L 5-7, 6-0, 7-6
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong 0-1
L 6-3, 6-1
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Yi Zhou 0-1
L 7-6, 7-5
0-1
L 6-1, 6-3

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: ATP Qian Daohu (China), model gave Sergey Fomin 45% at -182

Sergey Fomin vs Yusuke Takahashi: quick answers

Who won Sergey Fomin vs Yusuke Takahashi?

Sergey Fomin beat Yusuke Takahashi 6-4, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Yusuke Takahashi at 55%.

What is the head-to-head record between Sergey Fomin and Yusuke Takahashi?

Sergey Fomin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Sergey Fomin 6-4, 6-1 at China Qian Daohu.

Who is in better form, Sergey Fomin or Yusuke Takahashi?

Sergey Fomin is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). Yusuke Takahashi is 3-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sergey Fomin and Yusuke Takahashi?

Sergey Fomin is rated 6522 (ATP #485) and Yusuke Takahashi is rated 6429 (ATP #693). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sergey Fomin vs Yusuke Takahashi?

Sergey Fomin is priced at -182 and Yusuke Takahashi at +125, which implies a 65% and 44% chance to win. The model rates Yusuke Takahashi 11 points higher than the odds do (55% vs 44%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.