Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Terence Atmane, giving them a 51% chance to win against Mattia Bellucci (49%). Terence Atmane leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Atmane is 6-4 in their last 10, Bellucci 8-2. At +127, the odds imply 44% for Terence Atmane, below the model's 51%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Terence Atmane a 51% favorite. At +127 the sportsbook implies 44% for Terence Atmane, 7 points below the model's 51%.
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Terence Atmane at +127 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Terence Atmane | Mattia Bellucci | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6854 | 6864 |
| Tour rank | ATP #78 | ATP #70 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 14-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 24-31 | 42-29 |
| UTR | 15.7 | 15.6 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1716 | 1708 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Terence Atmane leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Terence Atmane | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 | Kazakhstan Almaty |
Recent form
Terence Atmane, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Taro Daniel | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Koki Matsuda | W | 4-6, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 23.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | W | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 05.10.2026 | Bernard Tomic | L | 6-3, 4-6, 5-3 |
| 30.09.2026 | Elias Ymer | L | 4-6, 7-5, 5-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Enzo Aguiard | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Dominik Palan | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Jaime Faria | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
Mattia Bellucci, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Terence Atmane | L | 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Martin Landaluce | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Luka Pavlovic | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Elias Ymer | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 07.10.2026 | Yi Zhou | L | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Alexandre Muller | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Terence Atmane | Mattia Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Ymer | 0-1 L 4-6, 7-5, 5-5 |
2-0 W 6-2, 6-1, W 4-6, 7-5, 7-6 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 1-3 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-1, 4-6, 6-4, L 6-4, 1-6, 6-4, L 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | 0-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-7, 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
| Gabriel Diallo | 0-1 L 6-7, 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Jakub Mensik | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 2-6, 7-6 |
| Martin Landaluce | 1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 7-6 |
2-1 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-3, W 4-6, 7-6, 1-6, L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | 1-1 W 6-4, 7-5, L 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-4 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 1-2 W 6-3, 7-6, L 6-2, 7-6, L 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
2-0 W 7-6, 2-6, 6-4, W 5-7, 6-2, 6-3 |
| Ugo Humbert | 1-1 W 7-6, 7-6, L 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-7, 6-4 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-7, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Terence Atmane 51% at +127
- 2026-10-26: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Terence Atmane 51% at +127
- 2026-10-25: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Terence Atmane 51% at +127
- 2026-10-24: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Terence Atmane 51% at +127
- 2026-10-23: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Terence Atmane 51% at +127
- 2026-10-22: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Terence Atmane 51% at +127
- 2026-10-21: ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), model gave Terence Atmane 51% at +127
Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci: quick answers
Who will win Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Terence Atmane, giving them a 51% chance to win against Mattia Bellucci (49%).
What is the head-to-head record between Terence Atmane and Mattia Bellucci?
Terence Atmane leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Terence Atmane 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 at Kazakhstan Almaty.
Who is in better form, Terence Atmane or Mattia Bellucci?
Terence Atmane is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Mattia Bellucci is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Terence Atmane and Mattia Bellucci?
Terence Atmane is rated 6854 (ATP #78) and Mattia Bellucci is rated 6864 (ATP #70). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Terence Atmane vs Mattia Bellucci?
Terence Atmane is priced at +127 and Mattia Bellucci at -159, which implies a 44% and 61% chance to win. The model rates Terence Atmane 7 points higher than the odds do (51% vs 44%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.