Makoto Ochi vs Ryota Tanuma
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ryota Tanuma, giving them a 72% chance to win against Makoto Ochi (28%). Makoto Ochi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ochi is 5-5 in their last 10, Tanuma 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ryota Tanuma a 72% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model minus book: -9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ryota Tanuma at -417 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Makoto Ochi | Ryota Tanuma | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6285 | 6300 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1212 | ATP #1158 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 32-26 | 62-22 |
| UTR | 12.96 | 13.31 |
Head to head
Makoto Ochi leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Makoto Ochi | 6-1, 6-4 | Japan Tanagura |
Recent form
Makoto Ochi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Yusuke Kusuhara | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Ryota Tanuma | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Hayden Jones | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Chen Dong | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Yuki Mochizuki | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 07.09.2026 | Samuel Battistone | W | 0-6, 0-6 |
| 07.09.2026 | Seiya Nakanishi | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 03.09.2026 | Kuan Yi Lee | L | 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 01.09.2026 | Yu Tanaka | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 31.08.2026 | Yuya Hirose | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
Ryota Tanuma, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Takuya Kumasaka | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Makoto Ochi | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 04.10.2026 | Hunter Heck | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Ryotero Matsumura | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Yuga Tashiro | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 27.09.2026 | Corban Crowther | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 25.09.2026 | Hunter Heck | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 10.09.2026 | Jerry Roddick | L | 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 09.09.2026 | Naoya Honda | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 07.09.2026 | Mao Takada | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Makoto Ochi | Ryota Tanuma |
|---|---|---|
| Kazuma Kawachi | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
| Koki Matsuda | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 7-5 |
| Maximus Jones | 0-1 L 3-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Ryotaro Taguchi | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-3, 2-6, 6-2 |
| Shu Muto | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-5, 1-0 |
2-0 W 6-3, 1-6, 1-0, W 6-2, 7-6 |
| Taisei Ichikawa | 1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-1, 4-6, 1-0 |
| Toshiki Karigyo | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
| Yuki Mochizuki | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
Makoto Ochi vs Ryota Tanuma: quick answers
Who will win Makoto Ochi vs Ryota Tanuma?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ryota Tanuma, giving them a 72% chance to win against Makoto Ochi (28%).
What is the head-to-head record between Makoto Ochi and Ryota Tanuma?
Makoto Ochi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Makoto Ochi 6-1, 6-4 at Japan Tanagura.
Who is in better form, Makoto Ochi or Ryota Tanuma?
Makoto Ochi is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Ryota Tanuma is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Makoto Ochi and Ryota Tanuma?
Makoto Ochi is rated 6285 (ATP #1212) and Ryota Tanuma is rated 6300 (ATP #1158). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Makoto Ochi vs Ryota Tanuma?
Makoto Ochi is priced at +250 and Ryota Tanuma at -417, which implies a 29% and 81% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.