Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Lea Nilsson
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lea Nilsson, giving them a 84% chance to win against Rose Marie Nijkamp (16%). Rose Marie Nijkamp leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Nijkamp is 6-4 in their last 10, Nilsson 4-6. At -286, the odds imply 74% for Lea Nilsson, below the model's 84%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Lea Nilsson a 84% favorite. At -286 the sportsbook implies 74% for Lea Nilsson, 10 points below the model's 84%.
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lea Nilsson at -286 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Rose Marie Nijkamp | Lea Nilsson | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6432 | 6614 |
| Tour rank | WTA #666 | WTA #376 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 8-3 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 25-17 | 28-20 |
| UTR | 10.91 | 11.42 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1443 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Rose Marie Nijkamp leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Rose Marie Nijkamp | 1-6, 7-6, 6-3 | USA Austin |
Recent form
Rose Marie Nijkamp, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Sloane Stephens | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Ella Mcdonald | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Lea Nilsson | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Emma Kamper Malmkjaer | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Alina Shcherbinina | L | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 04.10.2026 | Astra Sharma | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 03.10.2026 | Merna Refaat | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Emma Kamper Malmkjaer | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 01.10.2026 | Francesca Mattioli | W | 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Annabelle Xu | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Lea Nilsson, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Rose Marie Nijkamp | L | 1-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Susan Bandecchi | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Petra Sedlackova | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Elizabeth Jurna | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Lea Boskovic | L | 7-5, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 26.08.2026 | Selena Janicijevic | L | 6-3, 0-6, 6-3 |
| 19.08.2026 | Darya Astakhova | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 17.08.2026 | Maria Golovina | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 16.08.2026 | Jana Bojovic | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Rose Marie Nijkamp | Lea Nilsson |
|---|---|---|
| Ella Mcdonald | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Iva Primorac | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 4-6, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: WTA Austin (XI) (USA), model gave Rose Marie Nijkamp 16% at +190
Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Lea Nilsson: quick answers
Who will win Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Lea Nilsson?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Lea Nilsson, giving them a 84% chance to win against Rose Marie Nijkamp (16%).
What is the head-to-head record between Rose Marie Nijkamp and Lea Nilsson?
Rose Marie Nijkamp leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Rose Marie Nijkamp 1-6, 7-6, 6-3 at USA Austin.
Who is in better form, Rose Marie Nijkamp or Lea Nilsson?
Rose Marie Nijkamp is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Lea Nilsson is 4-6 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Rose Marie Nijkamp and Lea Nilsson?
Rose Marie Nijkamp is rated 6432 (WTA #666) and Lea Nilsson is rated 6614 (WTA #376). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Rose Marie Nijkamp vs Lea Nilsson?
Rose Marie Nijkamp is priced at +190 and Lea Nilsson at -286, which implies a 34% and 74% chance to win. The model rates Lea Nilsson 10 points higher than the odds do (84% vs 74%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.