Taiyo Hirano vs Keisuke Ota
Updated
Keisuke Ota beat Taiyo Hirano 7-6, 2-6, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Taiyo Hirano at 56%. Keisuke Ota leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Hirano is 4-6 in their last 10, Ota 3-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Taiyo Hirano a 56% favorite. At +174 the sportsbook implies 36% for Keisuke Ota, 7 points below the model's 44%.
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Keisuke Ota at +174 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Taiyo Hirano | Keisuke Ota | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5818 | 5779 |
| Tour rank | ATP #4086 | ATP #4293 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Current streak | 3 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 6-7 | 3-5 |
| UTR | 12.01 | 11.62 |
Head to head
Keisuke Ota leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Keisuke Ota | 7-6, 2-6, 6-2 | Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Taiyo Hirano, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Alexey Shtengelov | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sota Kambara | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sota Kambara | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.10.2026 | Keisuke Ota | L | 7-6, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Hien Quang Hien Pham | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Aruth Chinsupakul | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 12.10.2026 | Haru Kawanaka | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 15.02.2026 | Gianluca Ballotta | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 08.02.2026 | Niels Hoffmann | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 29.11.2025 | Koyu Yanagi | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
Keisuke Ota, last 8
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 15.10.2026 | Taiyo Hirano | W | 7-6, 2-6, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Alexey Shtengelov | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Thomas Linley | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 12.10.2026 | Kosuke Shibano | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 06.09.2026 | Kentaro Otsuka | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 29.03.2026 | Ryota Tanuma | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 28.03.2026 | Sena Sasaki | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Taiyo Hirano | Keisuke Ota |
|---|---|---|
| Alexey Shtengelov | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Taiyo Hirano 56% at -278
Taiyo Hirano vs Keisuke Ota: quick answers
Who won Taiyo Hirano vs Keisuke Ota?
Keisuke Ota beat Taiyo Hirano 7-6, 2-6, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Taiyo Hirano at 56%.
What is the head-to-head record between Taiyo Hirano and Keisuke Ota?
Keisuke Ota leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Keisuke Ota 7-6, 2-6, 6-2 at Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Taiyo Hirano or Keisuke Ota?
Taiyo Hirano is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Wins). Keisuke Ota is 3-5 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Taiyo Hirano and Keisuke Ota?
Taiyo Hirano is rated 5818 (ATP #4086) and Keisuke Ota is rated 5779 (ATP #4293). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Taiyo Hirano vs Keisuke Ota?
Taiyo Hirano is priced at -278 and Keisuke Ota at +174, which implies a 74% and 36% chance to win. The model rates Keisuke Ota 7 points higher than the odds do (44% vs 36%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.