Yaroslav Demin vs Kasidit Samrej
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Kasidit Samrej, giving them a 63% chance to win against Yaroslav Demin (37%). Yaroslav Demin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Demin is 7-3 in their last 10, Samrej 5-5. At -114, the odds imply 53% for Kasidit Samrej, below the model's 63%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Kasidit Samrej a 63% favorite. At -114 the sportsbook implies 53% for Kasidit Samrej, 9 points below the model's 63%.
Model minus book: -18 pts
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Kasidit Samrej at -114 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Yaroslav Demin | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6525 | 6513 |
| Tour rank | ATP #479 | ATP #504 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 4-3 |
| Current streak | 4 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 43-21 | 40-32 |
| UTR | 13.6 | 13.68 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1408 |
| Best surface | – | Grass |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Yaroslav Demin leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Yaroslav Demin | 6-4, 6-2 | China Guangzhou |
Recent form
Yaroslav Demin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Charles Broom | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Carl Emil Overbeck | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Qian Sun | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 19.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Alexandr Binda | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Matthew Dellavedova | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Filip Peliwo | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Akira Santillan | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
Kasidit Samrej, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Rio Noguchi | W | 2-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Yaroslav Demin | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Naoya Honda | W | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Enzo Aguiard | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Timofey Skatov | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 19.09.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Yaroslav Demin | Kasidit Samrej |
|---|---|---|
| Beibit Zhukayev | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
| Egor Pleshivtsev | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
0-1 L 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-1, 6-2, L 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Sidharth Rawat | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
2-0 W 6-2, 6-7, 6-2, W 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-19: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Kasidit Samrej 63% at -125
- 2026-10-18: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Kasidit Samrej 63% at -125
Yaroslav Demin vs Kasidit Samrej: quick answers
Who will win Yaroslav Demin vs Kasidit Samrej?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Kasidit Samrej, giving them a 63% chance to win against Yaroslav Demin (37%).
What is the head-to-head record between Yaroslav Demin and Kasidit Samrej?
Yaroslav Demin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by Yaroslav Demin 6-4, 6-2 at China Guangzhou.
Who is in better form, Yaroslav Demin or Kasidit Samrej?
Yaroslav Demin is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Wins). Kasidit Samrej is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Yaroslav Demin and Kasidit Samrej?
Yaroslav Demin is rated 6525 (ATP #479) and Kasidit Samrej is rated 6513 (ATP #504). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Yaroslav Demin vs Kasidit Samrej?
Yaroslav Demin is priced at -125 and Kasidit Samrej at -114, which implies a 56% and 53% chance to win. The model rates Kasidit Samrej 9 points higher than the odds do (63% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.