Kasidit Samrej vs Rio Noguchi
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Rio Noguchi, giving them a 70% chance to win against Kasidit Samrej (30%). Kasidit Samrej leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Samrej is 5-5 in their last 10, Noguchi 3-7.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Rio Noguchi a 70% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model minus book: -1 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Rio Noguchi at -244 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Kasidit Samrej | Rio Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6513 | 6635 |
| Tour rank | ATP #504 | ATP #304 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 3-7 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 4 Losses |
| Season record | 40-32 | 33-28 |
| UTR | 13.68 | 14.29 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1408 | 1477 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Hard | Grass |
Head to head
Kasidit Samrej leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | 2-6, 6-1, 7-6 | China Guangzhou |
Recent form
Kasidit Samrej, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Rio Noguchi | W | 2-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Yaroslav Demin | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Naoya Honda | W | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Enzo Aguiard | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Timofey Skatov | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 19.09.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
Rio Noguchi, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Alibek Kachmazov | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | L | 2-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Alexandre Muller | L | 6-3, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 23.09.2026 | Dalibor Svrcina | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 22.09.2026 | Masamichi Imamura | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 18.09.2026 | Pavel Kotov | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 16.09.2026 | Colin Sinclair | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 14.09.2026 | Kaichi Uchida | W | 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 09.09.2026 | Omar Jasika | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 07.9.2026 | Rigele Te | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Kasidit Samrej | Rio Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Alan Magadan | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
| Andre Ilagan | 1-0 W 6-7, 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-5, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Coleman Wong | 0-2 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, L 6-3, 6-0 |
1-1 L 7-6, 6-2, W 6-2, 6-2 |
| Fajing Sun | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| Hiroki Moriya | 1-0 W 6-1, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Paul Jubb | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| San Hui Shin | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-4 |
| Sidharth Rawat | 2-0 W 6-2, 6-7, 6-2, W 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
Kasidit Samrej vs Rio Noguchi: quick answers
Who will win Kasidit Samrej vs Rio Noguchi?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Rio Noguchi, giving them a 70% chance to win against Kasidit Samrej (30%).
What is the head-to-head record between Kasidit Samrej and Rio Noguchi?
Kasidit Samrej leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Kasidit Samrej 2-6, 6-1, 7-6 at China Guangzhou.
Who is in better form, Kasidit Samrej or Rio Noguchi?
Kasidit Samrej is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Rio Noguchi is 3-7 (current streak: 4 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Kasidit Samrej and Rio Noguchi?
Kasidit Samrej is rated 6513 (ATP #504) and Rio Noguchi is rated 6635 (ATP #304). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Kasidit Samrej vs Rio Noguchi?
Kasidit Samrej is priced at +166 and Rio Noguchi at -244, which implies a 38% and 71% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.