Kasidit Samrej vs Naoya Honda
Updated
Kasidit Samrej beat Naoya Honda 4-6, 6-3, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Kasidit Samrej leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Samrej is 5-5 in their last 10, Honda 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Kasidit Samrej a 78% favorite. At -270 the sportsbook implies 73% for Kasidit Samrej, 5 points below the model's 78%.
Model minus book: +5 pts
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Kasidit Samrej at -270 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Kasidit Samrej | Naoya Honda | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6513 | 6411 |
| Tour rank | ATP #504 | ATP #753 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 3-2 | 0-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 40-32 | 38-29 |
| UTR | 13.68 | 13.43 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1411 | 1273 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Kasidit Samrej leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 | China Guangzhou |
Recent form
Kasidit Samrej, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Rei Sakamoto | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Rio Noguchi | W | 2-6, 6-1, 7-6 |
| 19.10.2026 | Yaroslav Demin | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 18.10.2026 | Naoya Honda | W | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 08.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 06.10.2026 | Enzo Aguiard | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Timofey Skatov | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 19.09.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 1-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
Naoya Honda, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Liam Broady | L | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 27.10.2026 | Filip Peliwo | W | 5-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 26.10.2026 | Khumoyun Sultanov | W | 3-6, 7-5, 6-4 |
| 25.10.2026 | Ryuki Matsuda | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Kasidit Samrej | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 04.10.2026 | Kristjan Tamm | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 28.09.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 17.09.2026 | Petr Bar Biryukov | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 16.09.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 2-6, 7-6 |
| 14.09.2026 | Jesse Flores | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Kasidit Samrej | Naoya Honda |
|---|---|---|
| Alan Magadan | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Anton Shepp | 0-1 L 6-4, 1-6, 6-3 |
0-2 L 6-1, 4-6, 6-3, L 6-2, 7-6 |
| Taisei Ichikawa | 2-0 W 6-4, 7-6, W 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 2-6, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-17: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave Kasidit Samrej 78% at -270
Kasidit Samrej vs Naoya Honda: quick answers
Who won Kasidit Samrej vs Naoya Honda?
Kasidit Samrej beat Naoya Honda 4-6, 6-3, 7-5, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Kasidit Samrej and Naoya Honda?
Kasidit Samrej leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 18, 2026, won by Kasidit Samrej 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 at China Guangzhou.
Who is in better form, Kasidit Samrej or Naoya Honda?
Kasidit Samrej is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Naoya Honda is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Kasidit Samrej and Naoya Honda?
Kasidit Samrej is rated 6513 (ATP #504) and Naoya Honda is rated 6411 (ATP #753). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Kasidit Samrej vs Naoya Honda?
Kasidit Samrej is priced at -270 and Naoya Honda at +180, which implies a 73% and 36% chance to win. The model rates Kasidit Samrej 5 points higher than the odds do (78% vs 73%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.