Yusuke Takahashi vs Jamie Mackenzie

ATP Qian Daohu (China), Hard. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 10:00.

Updated

Yusuke Takahashi beat Jamie Mackenzie 7-6, 4-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Jamie Mackenzie at 53%. Yusuke Takahashi leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Takahashi is 3-7 in their last 10, Mackenzie 5-5.

Result: Yusuke Takahashi beat Jamie Mackenzie 7-6, 4-6, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Jamie Mackenzie.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Jamie Mackenzie a 53% favorite. At +185 the sportsbook implies 35% for Yusuke Takahashi, 12 points below the model's 47%.

Model
47%
Book
35%

Model minus book: +12 pts

Model
53%
Book
72%

Model minus book: -20 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yusuke Takahashi at +185 · Model track record

Player comparison

Yusuke TakahashiJamie Mackenzie
Tennis Gauge rating64296465
Tour rankATP #693ATP #608
Last 10 matches3-75-5
Last 30 days2-11-0
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record21-2928-19
UTR13.5713.78
Elo (52 weeks)12681429
Best surfaceClayClay
Worst surfaceHardHard

Head to head

Yusuke Takahashi leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Yusuke Takahashi7-6, 4-6, 6-3China Qian Daohu

Recent form

Yusuke Takahashi, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Christian Langmo L3-6, 6-4, 7-5
16.10.2026Sergey Fomin L6-4, 6-1
15.10.2026Jamie Mackenzie W7-6, 4-6, 6-3
13.10.2026Maxim Shin W6-4, 7-6
05.10.2026Keisuke Saitoh L4-6, 6-3, 6-2
04.10.2026Siddhant Banthia W6-3, 6-3
13.09.2026Jesse Delaney L7-6, 7-6
08.09.2026Hikaru Shiraishi L6-3, 6-3
02.09.2026Chase Ferguson L4-6, 6-1, 7-6
28.08.2026Enzo Aguiard L6-3, 7-5

Jamie Mackenzie, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Yusuke Takahashi L7-6, 4-6, 6-3
14.10.2026Corban Crowther W6-2, 6-4
11.09.2026Marcel Latak L6-3, 7-6
10.09.2026Jack Kennedy W6-4, 3-6, 2-6
09.09.2026Connor Doig W3-6, 3-6
06.09.2026Matias Reyniak W6-7, 7-6, 3-6
11.08.2026Jan Kumstat L6-7, 6-3, 6-3
09.08.2026Jan-Niklas Buchwald W6-0, 6-1
04.08.2026Elmer Moller L6-3, 6-2
02.08.2026Jan Choinski L6-3, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentYusuke TakahashiJamie Mackenzie
Chase Ferguson 0-1
L 4-6, 6-1, 7-6
1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
Hiroki Moriya 0-1
L 6-4, 2-6, 6-2
0-1
L 4-6, 6-4, 6-4

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: ATP Qian Daohu (China), model gave Yusuke Takahashi 47% at +185

Yusuke Takahashi vs Jamie Mackenzie: quick answers

Who won Yusuke Takahashi vs Jamie Mackenzie?

Yusuke Takahashi beat Jamie Mackenzie 7-6, 4-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Jamie Mackenzie at 53%.

What is the head-to-head record between Yusuke Takahashi and Jamie Mackenzie?

Yusuke Takahashi leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Yusuke Takahashi 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 at China Qian Daohu.

Who is in better form, Yusuke Takahashi or Jamie Mackenzie?

Yusuke Takahashi is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Jamie Mackenzie is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Yusuke Takahashi and Jamie Mackenzie?

Yusuke Takahashi is rated 6429 (ATP #693) and Jamie Mackenzie is rated 6465 (ATP #608). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Yusuke Takahashi vs Jamie Mackenzie?

Yusuke Takahashi is priced at +185 and Jamie Mackenzie at -263, which implies a 35% and 72% chance to win. The model rates Yusuke Takahashi 12 points higher than the odds do (47% vs 35%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.