Hayato Matsuoka vs James Mccabe
Updated
Hayato Matsuoka beat James Mccabe 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored James Mccabe at 62%. Hayato Matsuoka leads 3-0 in their head-to-head. Matsuoka is 5-5 in their last 10, Mccabe 2-8.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes James Mccabe a 62% favorite. At +105 the sportsbook implies 49% for James Mccabe, 13 points below the model's 62%.
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model minus book: +13 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of James Mccabe at +105 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Hayato Matsuoka | James Mccabe | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6613 | 6611 |
| Tour rank | ATP #332 | ATP #334 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Last 30 days | 4-3 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 3 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 47-32 | 33-31 |
| UTR | 14.16 | 14.07 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1446 | 1447 |
| Best surface | Hard | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Hayato Matsuoka leads 3-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | 6-3, 6-4 | China Jinan |
| 26.03.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | 7-5, 6-4 | Japan Yokkaichi |
| 22.11.2025 | Hayato Matsuoka | 7-5, 6-4 | Australia Sydney |
Recent form
Hayato Matsuoka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Fajing Sun | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| 20.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Aleksandar Vukic | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 12.10.2026 | James Mccabe | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Qian Sun | W | 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Yibing Wu | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Alexander Shevchenko | W | 3-6, 6-2, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Yu Hsiou Hsu | W | 2-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Taro Daniel | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Arthur Weber | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
James Mccabe, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Hiroki Moriya | L | 6-1, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 21.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 19.10.2026 | Elias Ymer | W | 6-0, 6-7, 7-6 |
| 12.10.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 11.10.2026 | Siddhant Banthia | W | 6-0, 3-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Federico Cina | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 24.08.2026 | Lukas Neumayer | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 12.08.2026 | Noah Zamora | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 04.08.2026 | Dusan Lajovic | L | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 25.07.2026 | Alex Bolt | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Hayato Matsuoka | James Mccabe |
|---|---|---|
| Bernard Tomic | 2-0 W 7-6, 7-6, W 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
| Cruz Hewitt | 1-1 L 6-3, 7-6, W 5-7, 6-3, 7-5 |
0-2 L 3-6, 6-3, 7-6, L 6-2, 6-1 |
| Hiroki Moriya | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
1-1 L 6-1, 2-6, 7-6, W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Marc Polmans | 1-1 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3, L 4-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-2, 7-6 |
| Masamichi Imamura | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-1 L 7-6, 6-2, W 6-3, 7-5 |
| Tung Lin Wu | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-6 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Hayato Matsuoka 38% at -145
Hayato Matsuoka vs James Mccabe: quick answers
Who won Hayato Matsuoka vs James Mccabe?
Hayato Matsuoka beat James Mccabe 6-3, 6-4, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored James Mccabe at 62%.
What is the head-to-head record between Hayato Matsuoka and James Mccabe?
Hayato Matsuoka leads 3-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Hayato Matsuoka 6-3, 6-4 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Hayato Matsuoka or James Mccabe?
Hayato Matsuoka is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Losses). James Mccabe is 2-8 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Hayato Matsuoka and James Mccabe?
Hayato Matsuoka is rated 6613 (ATP #332) and James Mccabe is rated 6611 (ATP #334). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Hayato Matsuoka vs James Mccabe?
Hayato Matsuoka is priced at -145 and James Mccabe at +105, which implies a 59% and 49% chance to win. The model rates James Mccabe 13 points higher than the odds do (62% vs 49%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.