Gavin Goode vs Pepijn Bastiaansen

ATP Lexington (X) (USA), Hard. Thursday, October 15, 2026, 10:00.

Updated

Pepijn Bastiaansen beat Gavin Goode 7-5, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Gavin Goode at 56%. Pepijn Bastiaansen leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Goode is 3-7 in their last 10, Bastiaansen 7-3.

Result: Pepijn Bastiaansen beat Gavin Goode 7-5, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Gavin Goode.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Gavin Goode a 56% favorite. At +142 the sportsbook implies 41% for Pepijn Bastiaansen, 3 points below the model's 44%.

Model
56%
Book
68%

Model minus book: -13 pts

Model
44%
Book
41%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Pepijn Bastiaansen at +142 · Model track record

Player comparison

Gavin GoodePepijn Bastiaansen
Tennis Gauge rating63306208
Tour rankATP #1035ATP #1554
Last 10 matches3-77-3
Last 30 days2-11-0
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record9-1225-16
UTR13.2312.88

Head to head

Pepijn Bastiaansen leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
15.10.2026Pepijn Bastiaansen7-5, 6-3USA Lexington

Recent form

Gavin Goode, last 10

DateOpponentScore
15.10.2026Pepijn Bastiaansen L7-5, 6-3
14.10.2026Blaise Bicknell W6-2, 1-0
25.09.2026Gabe Avram L2-6, 7-5, 7-6
23.09.2026Micah Braswell W6-2, 6-2
06.09.2026Tito Chavez L6-4, 6-7, 6-7
06.07.2026Mark Ceban L7-5, 4-6, 7-5
11.06.2026Alberto Pulido Moreno L5-7, 6-2, 6-4
31.05.2026Connor Doig L1-6, 0-2
19.05.2026Mattia Logrippo W7-6, 6-1
08.05.2026Liam Krall L6-4, 6-3

Pepijn Bastiaansen, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Jack Anthrop L6-1, 6-1
15.10.2026Gavin Goode W7-5, 6-3
14.10.2026Matthew Rankin W6-2, 6-0
13.09.2026Jose Garcia L6-3, 6-4
12.09.2026Aleksandr Kalinin W6-2, 6-2
10.09.2026Anas Bennour Dit Sahli W2-6, 6-3, 6-1
09.09.2026Denny Bao W6-1, 2-6, 6-0
08.09.2026Oscar Andres Martinez De Freitas W7-6, 6-3
07.9.2026Martin Doskocil W3-6, 6-2, 6-0
27.07.2026Carlos Giraldi L6-2, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-14: ATP Lexington (X) (USA), model gave Gavin Goode 56% at -213

Gavin Goode vs Pepijn Bastiaansen: quick answers

Who won Gavin Goode vs Pepijn Bastiaansen?

Pepijn Bastiaansen beat Gavin Goode 7-5, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Gavin Goode at 56%.

What is the head-to-head record between Gavin Goode and Pepijn Bastiaansen?

Pepijn Bastiaansen leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Pepijn Bastiaansen 7-5, 6-3 at USA Lexington.

Who is in better form, Gavin Goode or Pepijn Bastiaansen?

Gavin Goode is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Pepijn Bastiaansen is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Gavin Goode and Pepijn Bastiaansen?

Gavin Goode is rated 6330 (ATP #1035) and Pepijn Bastiaansen is rated 6208 (ATP #1554). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Gavin Goode vs Pepijn Bastiaansen?

Gavin Goode is priced at -213 and Pepijn Bastiaansen at +142, which implies a 68% and 41% chance to win. The model rates Pepijn Bastiaansen 3 points higher than the odds do (44% vs 41%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.