James Mccabe vs Elias Ymer

ATP Guangzhou (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 12:40.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Elias Ymer, giving them a 54% chance to win against James Mccabe (46%). James Mccabe leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mccabe is 2-8 in their last 10, Ymer 2-8.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Elias Ymer a 54% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
46%
Book
44%

Model minus book: +1 pts

Elias Ymer -175
Model
54%
Book
64%

Model minus book: -10 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Elias Ymer at -175 · Model track record

Player comparison

James MccabeElias Ymer
Tennis Gauge rating66116683
Tour rankATP #334ATP #245
Last 10 matches2-82-8
Last 30 days2-21-5
Current streak2 Losses8 Losses
Season record33-3122-31
UTR14.0714.26
Elo (52 weeks)14471501
Best surfaceGrassGrass
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

James Mccabe leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
19.10.2026James Mccabe6-0, 6-7, 7-6China Guangzhou

Recent form

James Mccabe, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Hiroki Moriya L6-1, 2-6, 7-6
21.10.2026Jay Dylan Hara Friend L4-6, 7-6, 6-4
19.10.2026Elias Ymer W6-0, 6-7, 7-6
12.10.2026Hayato Matsuoka L6-3, 6-4
11.10.2026Siddhant Banthia W6-0, 3-1
30.09.2026Federico Cina L6-2, 6-3
24.08.2026Lukas Neumayer L6-1, 6-4
12.08.2026Noah Zamora L4-6, 6-3, 7-6
04.08.2026Dusan Lajovic L6-3, 6-7, 6-3
25.07.2026Alex Bolt L7-6, 7-6

Elias Ymer, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Yi Zhou L1-6, 7-6, 6-4
19.10.2026James Mccabe L6-0, 6-7, 7-6
13.10.2026Mattia Bellucci L6-2, 6-1
05.10.2026Mattia Bellucci L4-6, 7-5, 7-6
01.10.2026Federico Cina L3-6, 6-3, 6-4
30.09.2026Terence Atmane L4-6, 7-5, 5-5
22.09.2026Alexis Galarneau L7-5, 7-6
18.09.2026Marat Sharipov L7-6, 6-3
16.09.2026Luca Castelnuovo W7-6, 6-4
14.09.2026Semen Pankin W5-7, 7-5, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentJames MccabeElias Ymer
Alex Bolt 0-2
L 7-6, 7-6, L 7-5, 7-6
1-0
W 7-6, 7-6
Coleman Wong 1-0
W 3-6, 6-4, 6-3
2-0
W 6-3, 3-6, 7-6, W 7-6, 4-6, 6-3
Federico Cina 0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
0-2
L 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, L 6-3, 7-5
Kaichi Uchida 1-0
W 6-4, 7-5
1-0
W 6-4, 4-6, 6-3
Luca Castelnuovo 1-1
L 6-4, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
Martin Damm 1-0
W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4
0-1
L 6-3, 7-5

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-19: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave James Mccabe 45% at +110
  • 2026-10-18: ATP Guangzhou (China), model gave James Mccabe 45% at +110

James Mccabe vs Elias Ymer: quick answers

Who will win James Mccabe vs Elias Ymer?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Elias Ymer, giving them a 54% chance to win against James Mccabe (46%).

What is the head-to-head record between James Mccabe and Elias Ymer?

James Mccabe leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 19, 2026, won by James Mccabe 6-0, 6-7, 7-6 at China Guangzhou.

Who is in better form, James Mccabe or Elias Ymer?

James Mccabe is 2-8 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Elias Ymer is 2-8 (current streak: 8 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate James Mccabe and Elias Ymer?

James Mccabe is rated 6611 (ATP #334) and Elias Ymer is rated 6683 (ATP #245). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for James Mccabe vs Elias Ymer?

James Mccabe is priced at +125 and Elias Ymer at -175, which implies a 44% and 64% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.