Li Tu vs Casey Hoole
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Li Tu, giving them a 85% chance to win against Casey Hoole (15%). Casey Hoole leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Tu is 4-6 in their last 10, Hoole 8-2. At -192, the odds imply 66% for Li Tu, below the model's 85%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Li Tu a 85% favorite. At -192 the sportsbook implies 66% for Li Tu, 19 points below the model's 85%.
Model minus book: +19 pts
Model minus book: -28 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Li Tu at -192 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Li Tu | Casey Hoole | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6519 | 6324 |
| Tour rank | ATP #490 | ATP #1063 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 11-0 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 28-21 | 32-6 |
| UTR | 14.04 | 13.38 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1455 | – |
| Best surface | Grass | – |
| Worst surface | Clay | – |
Head to head
Casey Hoole leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Casey Hoole | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 | Australia Tamworth |
Recent form
Li Tu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Casey Hoole | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Brandon Walkin | W | 6-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alastair Gray | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kaylan Bigun | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Abedallah Shelbayh | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | James Trotter | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Nicolas Oliveira | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Alafia Ayeni | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 13.09.2026 | Roger Pascual Ferra | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.08.2026 | Quinn Vandecasteele | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Casey Hoole, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Herman Hoeyeraal | L | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 |
| 24.10.2026 | Isaac Becroft | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Philip Sekulic | W | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 22.10.2026 | Li Tu | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Nick Beamish | W | 6-3, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Stefan Vujic | W | 6-3, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Zane Stevens | W | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 09.10.2026 | Moerani Bouzige | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Tai Sach | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Jack Bruce Smith | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Li Tu | Casey Hoole |
|---|---|---|
| Elijah Cham | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
3-0 W 6-2, 6-3, W 6-3, 6-4, W 2-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-27: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Li Tu 85% at -192
- 2026-10-26: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Li Tu 85% at -192
- 2026-10-25: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Li Tu 85% at -192
- 2026-10-24: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Li Tu 85% at -192
- 2026-10-23: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Li Tu 85% at -192
- 2026-10-22: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Li Tu 85% at -192
- 2026-10-21: ATP Tamworth (Australia), model gave Li Tu 85% at -192
Li Tu vs Casey Hoole: quick answers
Who will win Li Tu vs Casey Hoole?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Li Tu, giving them a 85% chance to win against Casey Hoole (15%).
What is the head-to-head record between Li Tu and Casey Hoole?
Casey Hoole leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 22, 2026, won by Casey Hoole 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 at Australia Tamworth.
Who is in better form, Li Tu or Casey Hoole?
Li Tu is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Casey Hoole is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Li Tu and Casey Hoole?
Li Tu is rated 6519 (ATP #490) and Casey Hoole is rated 6324 (ATP #1063). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Li Tu vs Casey Hoole?
Li Tu is priced at -192 and Casey Hoole at +132, which implies a 66% and 43% chance to win. The model rates Li Tu 19 points higher than the odds do (85% vs 66%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.