Botond Nagy vs Nicolas Baena

ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), Hard. Friday, October 9, 2026, 10:10.

Updated

Botond Nagy beat Nicolas Baena 7-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Nicolas Baena at 51%. Botond Nagy leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Nagy is 5-5 in their last 10, Baena 4-6.

Result: Botond Nagy beat Nicolas Baena 7-6, 6-3. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Nicolas Baena.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Nicolas Baena a 51% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
49%
Book
55%

Model minus book: -7 pts

Model
51%
Book
55%

Model minus book: -4 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Nicolas Baena at -123 · Model track record

Player comparison

Botond NagyNicolas Baena
Tennis Gauge rating61716104
Tour rankATP #1749ATP #2171
Last 10 matches5-54-6
Last 30 days2-12-1
Current streak1 Win1 Loss
Season record18-1911-12
UTR12.7712.86

Head to head

Botond Nagy leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026Botond Nagy7-6, 6-3USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series

Recent form

Botond Nagy, last 10

DateOpponentScore
11.10.2026Nicolas Baena W7-6, 6-3
10.10.2026Vincent Marysko L6-3, 6-2
08.10.2026Antreas Djakouris W6-3, 6-1
07.10.2026Finn Willman W6-0, 7-5
06.10.2026Dinko Dinev L6-3, 7-6
04.10.2026Nikos Lehmann L6-4, 4-6, 7-5
31.07.2026Merse Deli L6-3, 6-3
29.07.2026Filip Soderqvist W7-6, 7-5
28.07.2026Nikola Keremedchiev W6-2, 7-6
27.07.2026Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez L6-4, 6-4

Nicolas Baena, last 10

DateOpponentScore
11.10.2026Botond Nagy L7-6, 6-3
09.10.2026Timothy Barthes W7-5, 6-2
09.10.2026Rahul Sachdev W3-6, 6-4, 6-4
07.10.2026Constantinos Djakouris L7-6, 6-4
06.10.2026Brock Anderson W6-1, 2-1
04.10.2026Andreas Loizas W6-4, 7-5
04.10.2026Luca Lemaitre Vilchis L7-5, 7-5
04.10.2026Leonardo Cattaneo L6-3, 6-3
06.09.2026Dante Pagani L6-4, 6-3
11.08.2026Santiago Pesino L6-1, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Botond Nagy vs Nicolas Baena: quick answers

Who won Botond Nagy vs Nicolas Baena?

Botond Nagy beat Nicolas Baena 7-6, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Nicolas Baena at 51%.

What is the head-to-head record between Botond Nagy and Nicolas Baena?

Botond Nagy leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Botond Nagy 7-6, 6-3 at USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series.

Who is in better form, Botond Nagy or Nicolas Baena?

Botond Nagy is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Nicolas Baena is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Botond Nagy and Nicolas Baena?

Botond Nagy is rated 6171 (ATP #1749) and Nicolas Baena is rated 6104 (ATP #2171). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Botond Nagy vs Nicolas Baena?

Botond Nagy is priced at -123 and Nicolas Baena at -123, which implies a 55% and 55% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.