Bautista De La Pena vs Fermin Tenti
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Fermin Tenti, giving them a 71% chance to win against Bautista De La Pena (29%). Fermin Tenti leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Pena is 4-6 in their last 10, Tenti 4-6. At -172, the odds imply 63% for Fermin Tenti, below the model's 71%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Fermin Tenti a 71% favorite. At -172 the sportsbook implies 63% for Fermin Tenti, 7 points below the model's 71%.
Model minus book: -14 pts
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Fermin Tenti at -172 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Bautista De La Pena | Fermin Tenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6064 | 6297 |
| Tour rank | ATP #2448 | ATP #1165 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 17-29 | 32-25 |
| UTR | 11.81 | 13.2 |
Head to head
Fermin Tenti leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Fermin Tenti | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 | Brazil Joao Pessoa |
Recent form
Bautista De La Pena, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Fermin Tenti | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 28.10.2026 | Mateo Barreiros Reyes | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Pedro Sakamoto | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 21.10.2026 | Francisco Fontes Damorim | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 04.10.2026 | Mateus Alves | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 01.09.2026 | Noah Schachter | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 23.08.2026 | Lautaro Correa Beguerie | L | 4-6, 7-6, 1-0 |
| 22.08.2026 | Enzo Fortes | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 18.08.2026 | Nathan Cox | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 17.08.2026 | Fantino Alberca De Las Casas | W | 6-2, 5-7, 1-0 |
Fermin Tenti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Bautista De La Pena | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Nicolas Zanellato | W | 1-6, 6-2, 3-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Rocco Valente | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 21.09.2026 | Mariano Kestelboim | W | 7-6 |
| 21.09.2026 | Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna | L | 6-1, 7-5 |
| 16.09.2026 | Evgenii Tiurnev | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 09.09.2026 | Ruslan Tiukaev | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 02.09.2026 | Nicola Rispoli | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 31.08.2026 | Jan Kupcic | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 26.08.2026 | Ignacio Monzon | L | 6-0, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Bautista De La Pena | Fermin Tenti |
|---|---|---|
| Conner Huertas Del Pino | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-3, 2-6, 6-4 |
| Ignacio Monzon | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-0, 7-5 |
| Justin Roberts | 0-1 L 6-0, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 0-6, 1-0 |
| Liam Krall | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Ryan Haviland | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: ATP Joao Pessoa (Brazil), model gave Bautista De La Pena 29% at +129
Bautista De La Pena vs Fermin Tenti: quick answers
Who will win Bautista De La Pena vs Fermin Tenti?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Fermin Tenti, giving them a 71% chance to win against Bautista De La Pena (29%).
What is the head-to-head record between Bautista De La Pena and Fermin Tenti?
Fermin Tenti leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Fermin Tenti 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 at Brazil Joao Pessoa.
Who is in better form, Bautista De La Pena or Fermin Tenti?
Bautista De La Pena is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Fermin Tenti is 4-6 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Bautista De La Pena and Fermin Tenti?
Bautista De La Pena is rated 6064 (ATP #2448) and Fermin Tenti is rated 6297 (ATP #1165). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Bautista De La Pena vs Fermin Tenti?
Bautista De La Pena is priced at +129 and Fermin Tenti at -172, which implies a 44% and 63% chance to win. The model rates Fermin Tenti 7 points higher than the odds do (71% vs 63%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.