Ava Esposito Cogan vs Lisa Kamigata
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ava Esposito Cogan, giving them a 55% chance to win against Lisa Kamigata (45%). Ava Esposito Cogan leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Cogan is 6-4 in their last 10, Kamigata 6-4. At +208, the odds imply 32% for Lisa Kamigata, below the model's 45%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Ava Esposito Cogan a 55% favorite. At +208 the sportsbook implies 32% for Lisa Kamigata, 12 points below the model's 45%.
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model minus book: +12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Lisa Kamigata at +208 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ava Esposito Cogan | Lisa Kamigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6156 | 6106 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1450 | WTA #1656 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-1 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 21-8 | 14-9 |
| UTR | 10.5 | 10.18 |
Head to head
Ava Esposito Cogan leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Ava Esposito Cogan | 6-4, 7-6 | USA UTR Pro Match Series |
Recent form
Ava Esposito Cogan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Lisa Kamigata | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Gabia Paskauskas | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Alyson Shannon | W | 3-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
| 09.10.2026 | Kinaa Graham | L | 6-1, 0-6, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Alexandra Patton | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Victoria Osuigwe | L | 6-0, 7-5 |
| 23.09.2026 | Rose Marie Nijkamp | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 15.08.2026 | Kaya Moe | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 14.08.2026 | Lexie Weir | W | 6-7, 7-5, 6-1 |
| 13.08.2026 | Allison Nicole Isaacs | W | 7-6, 4-6, 6-4 |
Lisa Kamigata, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Ava Esposito Cogan | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 28.10.2026 | Alyson Shannon | L | 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Gabia Paskauskas | W | 6-1, 4-6, 6-0 |
| 12.10.2026 | Asuncion Jadue | L | 6-1, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 11.10.2026 | Mia Yamakita | W | 1-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 10.10.2026 | Georgia Kulevich | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 09.10.2026 | Valeria Chaikovskaia | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 08.10.2026 | Sati Aubakirova | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Daria Rohalova | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 12.09.2026 | Saray Yli Piipari | L | 6-4, 0-6, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ava Esposito Cogan | Lisa Kamigata |
|---|---|---|
| Alyson Shannon | 1-0 W 3-6, 6-2, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Gabia Paskauskas | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-1, 4-6, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-29: WTA UTR Pro Match Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Ava Esposito Cogan 55% at -333
Ava Esposito Cogan vs Lisa Kamigata: quick answers
Who will win Ava Esposito Cogan vs Lisa Kamigata?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Ava Esposito Cogan, giving them a 55% chance to win against Lisa Kamigata (45%).
What is the head-to-head record between Ava Esposito Cogan and Lisa Kamigata?
Ava Esposito Cogan leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 29, 2026, won by Ava Esposito Cogan 6-4, 7-6 at USA UTR Pro Match Series.
Who is in better form, Ava Esposito Cogan or Lisa Kamigata?
Ava Esposito Cogan is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Wins). Lisa Kamigata is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ava Esposito Cogan and Lisa Kamigata?
Ava Esposito Cogan is rated 6156 (WTA #1450) and Lisa Kamigata is rated 6106 (WTA #1656). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ava Esposito Cogan vs Lisa Kamigata?
Ava Esposito Cogan is priced at -333 and Lisa Kamigata at +208, which implies a 77% and 32% chance to win. The model rates Lisa Kamigata 12 points higher than the odds do (45% vs 32%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.