Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Arina Arifullina

WTA Lagos (POR) (Portugal), Hard. Thursday, October 8, 2026, 04:20.

Updated

Yelyzaveta Kotliar beat Arina Arifullina 7-5, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Yelyzaveta Kotliar leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Kotliar is 6-4 in their last 10, Arifullina 6-4.

Result: Yelyzaveta Kotliar beat Arina Arifullina 7-5, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Yelyzaveta Kotliar a 88% favorite. At -526 the sportsbook implies 84% for Yelyzaveta Kotliar, 4 points below the model's 88%.

Model
88%
Book
84%

Model minus book: +4 pts

Model
12%
Book
25%

Model minus book: -13 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yelyzaveta Kotliar at -526 · Model track record

Player comparison

Yelyzaveta KotliarArina Arifullina
Tennis Gauge rating65796247
Tour rankWTA #428WTA #1161
Last 10 matches6-46-4
Last 30 days2-04-2
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record47-3024-20
UTR11.4210.17
Elo (52 weeks)1386–
Best surfaceClay–
Worst surfaceHard–

Head to head

Yelyzaveta Kotliar leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
09.10.2026Yelyzaveta Kotliar7-5, 6-2Portugal Lagos

Recent form

Yelyzaveta Kotliar, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Erika Andreeva L7-6, 6-2
26.10.2026Alja Senica W6-4, 7-6
23.10.2026Kayo Nishimura L3-6, 6-3, 6-1
22.10.2026Masha Lazarenko W6-0, 4-6, 6-4
21.10.2026Antonina Sushkova W6-1, 6-1
14.10.2026Ada Kumru L6-3, 6-3
10.10.2026Celia Cervino Ruiz L7-5, 6-4
09.10.2026Arina Arifullina W7-5, 6-2
08.10.2026Kateryna Lazarenko W5-0
06.10.2026Elizabeth Jurna W6-3, 7-5

Arina Arifullina, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Julie Myatovic L7-5, 6-1
09.10.2026Yelyzaveta Kotliar L7-5, 6-2
08.10.2026Valeria Savinykh W1-6, 6-2, 6-1
06.10.2026Baylen Brown W6-0, 6-0
30.09.2026Amandine Hesse L6-0, 6-3
28.09.2026Min Liu W7-5, 6-3
27.09.2026Kennedy Gibbs W7-5, 6-2
14.08.2026Irem Kurt L7-5, 6-2
13.08.2026Ekaterina Kuznetsova W4-6, 6-3, 6-0
11.08.2026Satima Toregen W6-2, 6-1

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentYelyzaveta KotliarArina Arifullina
Amandine Hesse 1-0
W 6-3, 5-7, 6-3
0-1
L 6-0, 6-3
Astrid Cirotte 1-0
W 6-0, 7-5
0-1
L 3-6, 6-3, 6-4
Irem Kurt 1-0
W 7-5, 6-1
0-1
L 7-5, 6-2
Sandra Samir 1-0
W 4-6, 6-1, 6-0
0-1
L 6-0, 6-3

Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Arina Arifullina: quick answers

Who won Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Arina Arifullina?

Yelyzaveta Kotliar beat Arina Arifullina 7-5, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Yelyzaveta Kotliar and Arina Arifullina?

Yelyzaveta Kotliar leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 9, 2026, won by Yelyzaveta Kotliar 7-5, 6-2 at Portugal Lagos.

Who is in better form, Yelyzaveta Kotliar or Arina Arifullina?

Yelyzaveta Kotliar is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Arina Arifullina is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Yelyzaveta Kotliar and Arina Arifullina?

Yelyzaveta Kotliar is rated 6579 (WTA #428) and Arina Arifullina is rated 6247 (WTA #1161). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Arina Arifullina?

Yelyzaveta Kotliar is priced at -526 and Arina Arifullina at +295, which implies a 84% and 25% chance to win. The model rates Yelyzaveta Kotliar 4 points higher than the odds do (88% vs 84%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.