Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Mathys Picard
Updated
Mathys Picard beat Alvaro Peiro Serrano 4-6, 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Mathys Picard leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Serrano is 3-7 in their last 10, Picard 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Mathys Picard a 77% favorite. At -204 the sportsbook implies 67% for Mathys Picard, 10 points below the model's 77%.
Model minus book: -19 pts
Model minus book: +10 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Mathys Picard at -204 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alvaro Peiro Serrano | Mathys Picard | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6172 | 6312 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1744 | ATP #1112 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 4 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 26-20 | 30-20 |
| UTR | 12.5 | 13.26 |
Head to head
Mathys Picard leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Mathys Picard | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 | Tunisia Monastir |
Recent form
Alvaro Peiro Serrano, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Mathys Picard | L | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 08.09.2026 | Richard Zusman | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 25.08.2026 | Stefano Dagostino | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.08.2026 | Kristijan Juhas | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 18.08.2026 | Vardan Manukyan | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 27.07.2026 | Keoni Puig Mccallan | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 27.07.2026 | Ros Mesas Marc | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 27.07.2026 | Oriol Font | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 20.07.2026 | Lucas Hammond | L | 6-3, 1-0 |
| 15.07.2026 | Matthieu Chambonniere | L | 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
Mathys Picard, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Leo Borg | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Leo Borg | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 15.10.2026 | Carles Hernandez | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Alvaro Peiro Serrano | W | 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 09.10.2026 | Kris Van Wyk | L | 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 08.10.2026 | Viktor Frydrych | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Maxime Chazal | W | 5-2 |
| 16.09.2026 | Daniel Domingos | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 06.09.2026 | Noah Boutleux | L | 4-6, 6-1, 1-0 |
| 05.09.2026 | Sacha Grandvincent | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Monastir (X) II (Tunisia), model gave Alvaro Peiro Serrano 23% at +135
Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Mathys Picard: quick answers
Who won Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Mathys Picard?
Mathys Picard beat Alvaro Peiro Serrano 4-6, 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Alvaro Peiro Serrano and Mathys Picard?
Mathys Picard leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Mathys Picard 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 at Tunisia Monastir.
Who is in better form, Alvaro Peiro Serrano or Mathys Picard?
Alvaro Peiro Serrano is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 4 Losses). Mathys Picard is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alvaro Peiro Serrano and Mathys Picard?
Alvaro Peiro Serrano is rated 6172 (ATP #1744) and Mathys Picard is rated 6312 (ATP #1112). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alvaro Peiro Serrano vs Mathys Picard?
Alvaro Peiro Serrano is priced at +135 and Mathys Picard at -204, which implies a 43% and 67% chance to win. The model rates Mathys Picard 10 points higher than the odds do (77% vs 67%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.