Alexey Shtengelov vs Kazuki Saito
Updated
Kazuki Saito beat Alexey Shtengelov 6-3, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Kazuki Saito leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Shtengelov is 4-6 in their last 10, Saito 1-7.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Kazuki Saito a 52% favorite. At +163 the sportsbook implies 38% for Kazuki Saito, 14 points below the model's 52%.
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Kazuki Saito at +163 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alexey Shtengelov | Kazuki Saito | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 5615 | 5677 |
| Tour rank | ATP #4972 | ATP #4743 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 1-7 |
| Last 30 days | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 23-28 | 1-7 |
| UTR | 11.13 | 11.25 |
Head to head
Kazuki Saito leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Kazuki Saito | 6-3, 6-2 | Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Alexey Shtengelov, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Taiyo Hirano | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 16.10.2026 | Aruth Chinsupakul | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Aruth Chinsupakul | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Kazuki Saito | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Keisuke Ota | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kosuke Shibano | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Thomas Linley | L | 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
| 03.09.2026 | Mirgiiaz Mirdzhaliev | L | 1-6, 4-0 |
| 02.09.2026 | Hong Lin Fu | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 01.09.2026 | Jacob Kailiang Shen | W | 6-0, 6-2 |
Kazuki Saito, last 8
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.10.2026 | Wulfrano Martinez Mora Esdras | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Eita Suzuki | L | 6-7, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Alexey Shtengelov | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Julian Zhang | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Liam Youn | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Sota Kambara | L | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 30.08.2026 | Yuto Oki | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 28.03.2026 | Liam Krall | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
No common opponents in the last 12 months.
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (), model gave Alexey Shtengelov 48% at -238
Alexey Shtengelov vs Kazuki Saito: quick answers
Who won Alexey Shtengelov vs Kazuki Saito?
Kazuki Saito beat Alexey Shtengelov 6-3, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Alexey Shtengelov and Kazuki Saito?
Kazuki Saito leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 15, 2026, won by Kazuki Saito 6-3, 6-2 at Asia UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Alexey Shtengelov or Kazuki Saito?
Alexey Shtengelov is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Kazuki Saito is 1-7 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alexey Shtengelov and Kazuki Saito?
Alexey Shtengelov is rated 5615 (ATP #4972) and Kazuki Saito is rated 5677 (ATP #4743). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alexey Shtengelov vs Kazuki Saito?
Alexey Shtengelov is priced at -238 and Kazuki Saito at +163, which implies a 70% and 38% chance to win. The model rates Kazuki Saito 14 points higher than the odds do (52% vs 38%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.