Alejandro Moreno vs Shion Itsusaki
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alejandro Moreno, giving them a 56% chance to win against Shion Itsusaki (44%). Alejandro Moreno leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Moreno is 6-4 in their last 10, Itsusaki 7-3. At +325, the odds imply 24% for Shion Itsusaki, below the model's 44%.
Prediction
The model makes Alejandro Moreno a 56% favorite. At +325 the sportsbook implies 24% for Shion Itsusaki, 20 points below the model's 44%.
Model minus book: -30 pts
Model minus book: +20 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Shion Itsusaki at +325 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alejandro Moreno | Shion Itsusaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6163 | 6055 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1802 | ATP #2518 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Win |
| Season record | 21-26 | 23-21 |
| UTR | 13.03 | 12.65 |
Head to head
Alejandro Moreno leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.09.2026 | Alejandro Moreno | 6-1, 6-1 | USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series |
Recent form
Alejandro Moreno, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Adrien Jonah Abarca | W | 6-0, 4-6, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Thomas Cardona Herrera | W | 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 27.10.2026 | Birtan Duran | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 28.09.2026 | Hugo Coquelin | L | 6-3, 3-0 |
| 28.09.2026 | Warren Gunnar | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Shu Matsuoka | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 13.09.2026 | Dmitry Kopilevich | W | 4-2 |
| 12.09.2026 | Martin Doskocil | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 10.09.2026 | Shion Itsusaki | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 09.09.2026 | Joaquin Benoit | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
Shion Itsusaki, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Graeme Angus | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 27.10.2026 | Aryan Saleh | L | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Jack Loutit | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Ariel Zauber | W | 6-4, 3-6, 7-6 |
| 02.10.2026 | Will Roberts | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 02.10.2026 | Alexander Haage | W | 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Aryan Badlani | W | 6-7, 6-3, 7-6 |
| 19.09.2026 | Yannic Nittmann | L | 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
| 18.09.2026 | Russell Lokko | W | 6-7, 6-1, 6-2 |
| 13.09.2026 | Anas Bennour Dit Sahli | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alejandro Moreno | Shion Itsusaki |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Victor Ferreira Gonzales | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Joaquin Benoit | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 1-6, 6-3, 2-1 |
| Leo Pade | 0-1 L 1-6, 6-4, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-1, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Alejandro Moreno 56% at -625
- 2026-10-31: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Alejandro Moreno 56% at -625
- 2026-10-30: ATP USA UTR Pro Tennis Series (exh.) (USA), model gave Alejandro Moreno 56% at -625
Alejandro Moreno vs Shion Itsusaki: quick answers
Who will win Alejandro Moreno vs Shion Itsusaki?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Alejandro Moreno, giving them a 56% chance to win against Shion Itsusaki (44%).
What is the head-to-head record between Alejandro Moreno and Shion Itsusaki?
Alejandro Moreno leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on September 10, 2026, won by Alejandro Moreno 6-1, 6-1 at USA USA UTR Pro Tennis Series.
Who is in better form, Alejandro Moreno or Shion Itsusaki?
Alejandro Moreno is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Shion Itsusaki is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Win).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alejandro Moreno and Shion Itsusaki?
Alejandro Moreno is rated 6163 (ATP #1802) and Shion Itsusaki is rated 6055 (ATP #2518). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alejandro Moreno vs Shion Itsusaki?
Alejandro Moreno is priced at -625 and Shion Itsusaki at +325, which implies a 86% and 24% chance to win. The model rates Shion Itsusaki 20 points higher than the odds do (44% vs 24%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.