Alastair Gray vs Sebastian Gorzny
Updated
Alastair Gray beat Sebastian Gorzny 5-7, 7-6, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sebastian Gorzny at 68%. Alastair Gray leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Gray is 6-4 in their last 10, Gorzny 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Sebastian Gorzny a 68% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -10 pts
Model minus book: +1 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sebastian Gorzny at -204 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alastair Gray | Sebastian Gorzny | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6570 | 6627 |
| Tour rank | ATP #393 | ATP #312 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-0 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Wins | 3 Losses |
| Season record | 46-22 | 37-24 |
| UTR | 14.05 | 14.37 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1316 | 1494 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Alastair Gray leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.10.2026 | Alastair Gray | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 | USA Austin |
Recent form
Alastair Gray, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Theo Papamalamis | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Emanuel Ivanisevic | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Dominick Mosejczuk | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 17.10.2026 | Sebastian Gorzny | W | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Li Tu | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Spencer Johnson | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 14.09.2026 | Patrick Maloney | L | 6-3, 5-7, 7-6 |
| 31.08.2026 | Maximus Jones | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 25.08.2026 | George Loffhagen | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
Sebastian Gorzny, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Darwin Blanch | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Igor Ribeiro Marcondes | L | 7-5, 2-6, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Alastair Gray | L | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Quinn Vandecasteele | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 13.10.2026 | Edward Winter | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 24.09.2026 | Tristan Boyer | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 22.09.2026 | Mitchell Krueger | W | 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 |
| 21.09.2026 | Andrew Johnson | W | 7-5, 6-0 |
| 21.09.2026 | Aidan Mayo | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 19.09.2026 | J J Wolf | L | 7-6, 1-6, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alastair Gray | Sebastian Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Edward Winter | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-6 |
| Enzo Aguiard | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
1-0 W 1-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| Theo Papamalamis | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
3-0 W 5-7, 6-4, 6-3, W 6-1, 6-2, W 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-16: ATP Austin (USA), model gave Alastair Gray 32% at +139
Alastair Gray vs Sebastian Gorzny: quick answers
Who won Alastair Gray vs Sebastian Gorzny?
Alastair Gray beat Sebastian Gorzny 5-7, 7-6, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sebastian Gorzny at 68%.
What is the head-to-head record between Alastair Gray and Sebastian Gorzny?
Alastair Gray leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 17, 2026, won by Alastair Gray 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 at USA Austin.
Who is in better form, Alastair Gray or Sebastian Gorzny?
Alastair Gray is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Wins). Sebastian Gorzny is 5-5 (current streak: 3 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alastair Gray and Sebastian Gorzny?
Alastair Gray is rated 6570 (ATP #393) and Sebastian Gorzny is rated 6627 (ATP #312). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alastair Gray vs Sebastian Gorzny?
Alastair Gray is priced at +139 and Sebastian Gorzny at -204, which implies a 42% and 67% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.