Alastair Gray vs Li Tu
Updated
Alastair Gray beat Li Tu 7-6, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Li Tu at 51%. They are tied 1-1 in their head-to-head. Gray is 6-4 in their last 10, Tu 4-6.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Li Tu a 51% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model minus book: -2 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Li Tu at -115 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Alastair Gray | Li Tu | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6570 | 6519 |
| Tour rank | ATP #393 | ATP #490 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 1-0 | 3-2 |
| Current streak | 3 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 46-22 | 28-21 |
| UTR | 14.05 | 14.04 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1316 | 1455 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Tied 1-1.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Alastair Gray | 7-6, 7-5 | USA Austin |
| 09.04.2026 | Li Tu | 6-4, 6-4 | China Wuning |
Recent form
Alastair Gray, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Theo Papamalamis | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Emanuel Ivanisevic | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 18.10.2026 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel | L | 5-7, 6-3, 6-3 |
| 18.10.2026 | Dominick Mosejczuk | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 17.10.2026 | Sebastian Gorzny | W | 5-7, 7-6, 6-2 |
| 16.10.2026 | Li Tu | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Spencer Johnson | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 14.09.2026 | Patrick Maloney | L | 6-3, 5-7, 7-6 |
| 31.08.2026 | Maximus Jones | L | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 25.08.2026 | George Loffhagen | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
Li Tu, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22.10.2026 | Casey Hoole | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Brandon Walkin | W | 6-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Alastair Gray | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kaylan Bigun | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 29.09.2026 | Abedallah Shelbayh | L | 3-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
| 28.09.2026 | James Trotter | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 27.09.2026 | Nicolas Oliveira | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 20.09.2026 | Alafia Ayeni | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 13.09.2026 | Roger Pascual Ferra | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 22.08.2026 | Quinn Vandecasteele | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Alastair Gray | Li Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Enzo Aguiard | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Rei Sakamoto | 0-1 L 1-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-14: ATP Austin (USA), model gave Alastair Gray 49% at -123
Alastair Gray vs Li Tu: quick answers
Who won Alastair Gray vs Li Tu?
Alastair Gray beat Li Tu 7-6, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Li Tu at 51%.
What is the head-to-head record between Alastair Gray and Li Tu?
They are tied 1-1. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Alastair Gray 7-6, 7-5 at USA Austin.
Who is in better form, Alastair Gray or Li Tu?
Alastair Gray is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 3 Wins). Li Tu is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Alastair Gray and Li Tu?
Alastair Gray is rated 6570 (ATP #393) and Li Tu is rated 6519 (ATP #490). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Alastair Gray vs Li Tu?
Alastair Gray is priced at -123 and Li Tu at -115, which implies a 55% and 53% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.