Valentina Ryser vs Yuki Naito
Updated
Yuki Naito beat Valentina Ryser 6-7, 6-0, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Yuki Naito leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Ryser is 4-6 in their last 10, Naito 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Yuki Naito a 54% favorite. At +181 the sportsbook implies 36% for Yuki Naito, 19 points below the model's 54%.
Model minus book: -28 pts
Model minus book: +19 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yuki Naito at +181 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Valentina Ryser | Yuki Naito | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6605 | 6641 |
| Tour rank | WTA #393 | WTA #343 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 0-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 49-29 | 42-24 |
| UTR | 11.34 | 11.43 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1476 | 1371 |
| Best surface | Grass | Hard |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Yuki Naito leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | 6-7, 6-0, 6-2 | Canada Quebec City |
| 24.05.2026 | Yuki Naito | 6-4, 6-3 | Japan Takasaki |
Recent form
Valentina Ryser, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Clemence Mercier | W | 7-5, 7-5 |
| 28.10.2026 | Andrea Cabio | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Madison Sieg | L | 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Yuki Naito | L | 6-7, 6-0, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Charo Esquiva Banuls | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Daniela Vismane | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Urszula Radwanska | W | 7-5, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 22.09.2026 | Georgina Garcia Perez | L | 7-6, 5-7, 6-1 |
| 15.09.2026 | Clara Vlasselaer | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.09.2026 | Dalma Galfi | L | 6-4, 6-3 |
Yuki Naito, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | Reese Brantmeier | L | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 24.10.2026 | Ariana Arseneault | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Ayana Akli | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Clemence Mercier | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Annabelle Xu | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Mingge Xu | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Kallista Liu | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Valentina Ryser | W | 6-7, 6-0, 6-2 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Valentina Ryser | Yuki Naito |
|---|---|---|
| Alana Smith | 1-0 W 7-5, 0-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
| Ayano Shimizu | 0-1 L 6-3, 4-6, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3 |
| Clemence Mercier | 1-0 W 7-5, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Demi Tran | 1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Hanna Chang | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3 |
1-0 W 4-3 |
| Hayu Kinoshita | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
| Kyoka Okamura | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 0-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Lin Zhu | 0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
| Mai Hontama | 1-1 L 6-2, 6-2, W 6-3, 6-0 |
0-1 L 6-1, 6-7, 7-5 |
| Misaki Matsuda | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-1 |
| Onyu Choi | 1-0 W 6-2, 4-6, 6-0 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-0 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Quebec City (Canada), model gave Valentina Ryser 46% at -278
Valentina Ryser vs Yuki Naito: quick answers
Who won Valentina Ryser vs Yuki Naito?
Yuki Naito beat Valentina Ryser 6-7, 6-0, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Valentina Ryser and Yuki Naito?
Yuki Naito leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Yuki Naito 6-7, 6-0, 6-2 at Canada Quebec City.
Who is in better form, Valentina Ryser or Yuki Naito?
Valentina Ryser is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Yuki Naito is 8-2 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Valentina Ryser and Yuki Naito?
Valentina Ryser is rated 6605 (WTA #393) and Yuki Naito is rated 6641 (WTA #343). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Valentina Ryser vs Yuki Naito?
Valentina Ryser is priced at -278 and Yuki Naito at +181, which implies a 74% and 36% chance to win. The model rates Yuki Naito 19 points higher than the odds do (54% vs 36%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.