Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs
Updated
Tommy Paul beat Zizou Bergs 7-6, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Tommy Paul leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Paul is 6-4 in their last 10, Bergs 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tommy Paul a 68% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +1 pts
Model minus book: -6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tommy Paul at -204 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Tommy Paul | Zizou Bergs | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6967 | 6904 |
| Tour rank | ATP #7 | ATP #38 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 47-22 | 32-28 |
| UTR | 15.97 | 15.68 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1937 | 1775 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Hard | Clay |
Head to head
Tommy Paul leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | 7-6, 6-4 | China Shangai - Masters |
| 07.03.2026 | Tommy Paul | 6-1, 6-2 | USA Indian Wells |
Recent form
Tommy Paul, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Luciano Darderi | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Taylor Fritz | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Corentin Moutet | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Zizou Bergs | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Alejandro Tabilo | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
Zizou Bergs, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27.10.2026 | Hubert Hurkacz | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Jan Lennard Struff | L | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Damir Dzumhur | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Toby Samuel | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | W | 7-5, 7-6 |
| 10.10.2026 | Ignacio Buse | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 08.10.2026 | Vit Kopriva | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | L | 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | Jurij Rodionov | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Tommy Paul | Zizou Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 3-0 W 6-2, 6-2, W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Adrian Mannarino | 1-0 W 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 |
| Alexander Zverev | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-2, 7-5 |
| Andrey Rublev | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 0-2 L 6-4, 6-3, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-6 |
| Daniel Altmaier | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-3, 3-2 |
| Flavio Cobolli | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
0-2 L 6-2, 6-3, L 6-3, 6-7, 7-6 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 0-1 L 7-6, 3-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 6-4 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3, L 4-6, 7-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
0-2 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, L 6-7, 7-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
| Ignacio Buse | 0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
| Jenson Brooksby | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 |
1-1 W 7-5, 6-2, L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Taylor Fritz | 1-1 L 6-3, 7-5, W 6-4, 6-3 |
0-2 L 7-6, 6-3, L 7-6, 5-7, 6-4 |
| Tomas Machac | 0-1 L 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4, 6-3 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | 3-0 W 6-7, 7-6, 7-6, W 6-4, 6-2, W 6-1, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 7-6 |
| Ugo Humbert | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
2-0 W 6-2, 7-5, 4-6, 3-6, 6-3, W 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Tommy Paul 68% at -204
Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs: quick answers
Who won Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs?
Tommy Paul beat Zizou Bergs 7-6, 6-4, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Tommy Paul and Zizou Bergs?
Tommy Paul leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Tommy Paul 7-6, 6-4 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Tommy Paul or Zizou Bergs?
Tommy Paul is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Zizou Bergs is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Tommy Paul and Zizou Bergs?
Tommy Paul is rated 6967 (ATP #7) and Zizou Bergs is rated 6904 (ATP #38). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Tommy Paul vs Zizou Bergs?
Tommy Paul is priced at -204 and Zizou Bergs at +168, which implies a 67% and 37% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.