Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot
Updated
Tommy Paul beat Valentin Vacherot 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Tommy Paul leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Paul is 6-4 in their last 10, Vacherot 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Tommy Paul a 68% favorite. At -147 the sportsbook implies 60% for Tommy Paul, 9 points below the model's 68%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tommy Paul at -147 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Tommy Paul | Valentin Vacherot | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6967 | 6904 |
| Tour rank | ATP #7 | ATP #39 |
| Last 10 matches | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-1 | 6-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 47-22 | 28-19 |
| UTR | 15.97 | 15.94 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1951 | 1845 |
| Best surface | Clay | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Tommy Paul leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | 6-4, 6-2 | China Shangai - Masters |
Recent form
Tommy Paul, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Luciano Darderi | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | W | 7-5, 6-2 |
| 24.10.2026 | Taylor Fritz | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Corentin Moutet | W | 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Zizou Bergs | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Alejandro Tabilo | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
Valentin Vacherot, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Rafael Jodar | W | 7-6, 2-6, 7-6 |
| 26.10.2026 | Mariano Navone | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 22.10.2026 | Luca Van Assche | L | 2-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 12.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 10.10.2026 | Sebastian Baez | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 05.10.2026 | Jiri Lehecka | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Arthur Fils | W | 7-5, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 30.09.2026 | Alexander Blockx | W | 7-6, 7-6 |
| 26.09.2026 | Lloyd Harris | L | 6-4, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Tommy Paul | Valentin Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | 3-0 W 6-2, 6-2, W 3-6, 6-3, 6-4, W 3-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | 2-0 W 6-3, 7-6, W 6-1, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-2 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3, 7-5 |
| Alex De Minaur | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-3 |
| Alexander Bublik | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 7-6 |
| Andrey Rublev | 1-0 W 7-5, 6-2 |
0-1 L 2-6, 7-6, 10-7 |
| Arthur Fils | 1-1 W 7-6, 6-1, L 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-1 W 7-5, 4-6, 6-4, L 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | 0-2 L 6-4, 6-3, 6-4, L 7-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Casper Ruud | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-7, 6-4, 7-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Coleman Wong | 1-0 W 6-7, 6-1, 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| Frances Tiafoe | 1-0 W 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2, 6-4 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-7, 6-3, L 4-6, 7-6, 7-5, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | 0-1 L 7-5, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-4, 4-6, 7-6, 6-2 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | 0-1 L 5-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Raphael Collignon | 1-0 W 6-2, 3-6, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 4-6, 7-5 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-3, 7-5, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 |
| Sebastian Korda | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Tommy Paul 68% at -147
Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot: quick answers
Who won Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot?
Tommy Paul beat Valentin Vacherot 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot?
Tommy Paul leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Tommy Paul 6-4, 6-2 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Tommy Paul or Valentin Vacherot?
Tommy Paul is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Valentin Vacherot is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Tommy Paul and Valentin Vacherot?
Tommy Paul is rated 6967 (ATP #7) and Valentin Vacherot is rated 6904 (ATP #39). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Tommy Paul vs Valentin Vacherot?
Tommy Paul is priced at -147 and Valentin Vacherot at +105, which implies a 60% and 49% chance to win. The model rates Tommy Paul 9 points higher than the odds do (68% vs 60%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.