Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Tatjana Maria, giving them a 97% chance to win against Valeriya Strakhova (3%). Maria is 8-2 in their last 10, Strakhova 7-3. At -1429, the odds imply 93% for Tatjana Maria, below the model's 97%.
Prediction
The model makes Tatjana Maria a 97% favorite. At -1429 the sportsbook implies 93% for Tatjana Maria, 4 points below the model's 97%.
Model minus book: +4 pts
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tatjana Maria at -1429 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Tatjana Maria | Valeriya Strakhova | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6965 | 6564 |
| Tour rank | WTA #83 | WTA #453 |
| Last 10 matches | 8-2 | 7-3 |
| Last 30 days | 6-2 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Win | 5 Wins |
| Season record | 39-33 | 32-32 |
| UTR | 12.54 | 10.81 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1734 | 1173 |
| Best surface | Grass | Clay |
| Worst surface | Hard | Hard |
Head to head
Tatjana Maria and Valeriya Strakhova haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Tatjana Maria, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Martina Colmegna | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 23.10.2026 | Reese Brantmeier | L | 7-6, 2-6, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Anastasia Kulikova | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Victoria Hu | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 16.10.2026 | Dana Guzman | L | 6-4, 2-6, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Alana Smith | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 04.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Malaika Rapolu | W | 6-0, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Lea Ma | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 30.09.2026 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
Valeriya Strakhova, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Polona Hercog | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 27.10.2026 | Sofia Costoulas | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 26.10.2026 | Amelie Van Impe | W | 6-1, 5-7, 6-4 |
| 26.10.2026 | Gabriela Vilar | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 21.10.2026 | Jana Hossam Salah | W | 2-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Malaika Rapolu | L | 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Edda Mamedova | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 12.10.2026 | Chloe Noel | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 07.10.2026 | Maria Lourdes Carle | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Anita Sahdiieva | L | 3-6, 7-5, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Tatjana Maria | Valeriya Strakhova |
|---|---|---|
| Malaika Rapolu | 1-0 W 6-0, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-1, 4-6, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: WTA Queretaro (Mexico), model gave Tatjana Maria 97% at -1429
- 2026-10-31: WTA Queretaro (Mexico), model gave Tatjana Maria 97% at -1429
- 2026-10-30: WTA Queretaro (Mexico), model gave Tatjana Maria 97% at -1429
Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova: quick answers
Who will win Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Tatjana Maria, giving them a 97% chance to win against Valeriya Strakhova (3%).
Have Tatjana Maria and Valeriya Strakhova played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Tatjana Maria or Valeriya Strakhova?
Tatjana Maria is 8-2 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Valeriya Strakhova is 7-3 (current streak: 5 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Tatjana Maria and Valeriya Strakhova?
Tatjana Maria is rated 6965 (WTA #83) and Valeriya Strakhova is rated 6564 (WTA #453). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova?
Tatjana Maria is priced at -1429 and Valeriya Strakhova at +595, which implies a 93% and 14% chance to win. The model rates Tatjana Maria 4 points higher than the odds do (97% vs 93%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.