Taiyo Yamanaka vs Takuya Kumasaka
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Takuya Kumasaka, giving them a 54% chance to win against Taiyo Yamanaka (46%). Taiyo Yamanaka leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Yamanaka is 5-5 in their last 10, Kumasaka 6-4. At +193, the odds imply 34% for Taiyo Yamanaka, below the model's 46%.
Prediction
The model makes Takuya Kumasaka a 54% favorite. At +193 the sportsbook implies 34% for Taiyo Yamanaka, 12 points below the model's 46%.
Model minus book: +12 pts
Model minus book: -22 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Taiyo Yamanaka at +193 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Taiyo Yamanaka | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6328 | 6437 |
| Tour rank | ATP #1048 | ATP #677 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 3-3 | 5-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 28-28 | 28-26 |
| UTR | 13.24 | 13.61 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | – | 1130 |
| Best surface | – | Clay |
| Worst surface | – | Hard |
Head to head
Taiyo Yamanaka leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.05.2026 | Taiyo Yamanaka | 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 | India Bengaluru II |
Recent form
Taiyo Yamanaka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Kosuke Shibano | W | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 28.10.2026 | Natsuki Yamamoto | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Yuto Oki | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 20.10.2026 | Yuto Oki | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 08.10.2026 | Anton Shepp | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul | W | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Max Purcell | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Yuta Tomida | W | 6-3, 1-6, 7-6 |
| 30.09.2026 | Nikolai Barsukov | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 14.09.2026 | Ryuki Matsuda | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
Takuya Kumasaka, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Sora Fukuda | W | 1-6, 6-2, 6-0 |
| 28.10.2026 | Ryota Tanuma | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 24.10.2026 | Yuto Oki | L | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Yusuke Kusuhara | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 22.10.2026 | Noritaka Koizumi | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 21.10.2026 | Reiya Komagata | W | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 06.09.2026 | Martin Borisiouk | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 30.08.2026 | Joshua Charlton | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 12.08.2026 | Hayato Matsuoka | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 11.08.2026 | Colin Sinclair | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Taiyo Yamanaka | Takuya Kumasaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hayato Matsuoka | 0-1 L 6-3, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
| Joshua Charlton | 1-0 W 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-3, 6-4 |
| Matt Hulme | 0-1 L 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
| Matthew Dellavedova | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| Moerani Bouzige | 0-3 L 6-3, 6-3, L 7-6, 5-7, 6-2, L 4-6, 6-2, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| Ryuki Matsuda | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-1, 6-0 |
| Shunsuke Mitsui | 0-1 L 7-5, 7-5 |
1-0 W 6-4, 1-0 |
| Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Yuto Oki | 0-2 L 6-1, 7-6, L 6-1, 7-6 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: ATP Yanagawa (Japan), model gave Taiyo Yamanaka 46% at +193
- 2026-10-31: ATP Yanagawa (Japan), model gave Taiyo Yamanaka 46% at +193
- 2026-10-30: ATP Yanagawa (Japan), model gave Taiyo Yamanaka 46% at +193
Taiyo Yamanaka vs Takuya Kumasaka: quick answers
Who will win Taiyo Yamanaka vs Takuya Kumasaka?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Takuya Kumasaka, giving them a 54% chance to win against Taiyo Yamanaka (46%).
What is the head-to-head record between Taiyo Yamanaka and Takuya Kumasaka?
Taiyo Yamanaka leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on May 19, 2026, won by Taiyo Yamanaka 7-6, 4-6, 7-6 at India Bengaluru II.
Who is in better form, Taiyo Yamanaka or Takuya Kumasaka?
Taiyo Yamanaka is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Takuya Kumasaka is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Taiyo Yamanaka and Takuya Kumasaka?
Taiyo Yamanaka is rated 6328 (ATP #1048) and Takuya Kumasaka is rated 6437 (ATP #677). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Taiyo Yamanaka vs Takuya Kumasaka?
Taiyo Yamanaka is priced at +193 and Takuya Kumasaka at -313, which implies a 34% and 76% chance to win. The model rates Taiyo Yamanaka 12 points higher than the odds do (46% vs 34%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.