Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz
Updated
Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Taylor Fritz 3-6, 7-5, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Taylor Fritz at 57%. Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Tsitsipas is 7-3 in their last 10, Fritz 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Taylor Fritz a 57% favorite. At +172 the sportsbook implies 37% for Stefanos Tsitsipas, 6 points below the model's 43%.
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model minus book: -11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Stefanos Tsitsipas at +172 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | Taylor Fritz | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6910 | 6955 |
| Tour rank | ATP #34 | ATP #11 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 7-1 | 1-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Wins |
| Season record | 42-24 | 40-23 |
| UTR | 15.91 | 16.13 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1876 | 1952 |
| Best surface | Clay | Grass |
| Worst surface | Grass | Clay |
Head to head
Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 | China Shangai - Masters |
| 07.01.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | 6-4, 7-5 | United Cup M |
Recent form
Stefanos Tsitsipas, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.10.2026 | Nikoloz Basilashvili | L | 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 |
| 23.10.2026 | James Duckworth | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 21.10.2026 | Mikhail Kukushkin | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 20.10.2026 | Aleksandar Kovacevic | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-3 |
| 14.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-4, 7-5 |
| 12.10.2026 | Taylor Fritz | W | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Luciano Darderi | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 08.10.2026 | Kimmer Coppejans | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 02.10.2026 | Valentin Vacherot | L | 4-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W | 4-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
Taylor Fritz, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Denis Shapovalov | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 28.10.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | W | 6-4, 7-6 |
| 25.10.2026 | Lorenzo Musetti | L | 6-3, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Tommy Paul | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 23.10.2026 | Daniel Altmaier | W | 7-6, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Pierre Hugues Herbert | W | 6-2, 7-5 |
| 12.10.2026 | Stefanos Tsitsipas | L | 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| 10.10.2026 | Matteo Arnaldi | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Jaume Munar | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 26.09.2026 | Carlos Alcaraz | L | 6-3, 4-6, 13-11 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Stefanos Tsitsipas | Taylor Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Alex De Minaur | 1-1 L 6-4, 3-6, 6-3, W 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 7-6, 6-3 |
| Alexander Bublik | 1-0 W 6-2, 7-5 |
2-0 W 7-6, 6-4, 6-4, W 6-4, 6-4 |
| Ben Shelton | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-3, 6-4 |
1-2 W 6-7, 7-6, 7-6, L 6-4, 2-6, 6-4, L 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 |
| Botic Van De Zandschulp | 0-1 L 6-4, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
| Denis Shapovalov | 0-1 L 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
| Fabian Marozsan | 0-1 L 3-6, 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-4 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | 0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
0-1 L 3-6, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4, 6-4 |
| Jiri Lehecka | 1-0 W 2-6, 6-1, 7-6, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-7, 6-2 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | 0-1 L 7-6, 5-7, 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-4 |
| Patrick Kypson | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-2, 7-5 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-4, 7-6 |
| Valentin Royer | 1-0 W 7-6, 7-5 |
1-0 W 7-6, 5-7, 6-1, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-11: ATP Shangai - Masters (China), model gave Stefanos Tsitsipas 43% at +172
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz: quick answers
Who won Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz?
Stefanos Tsitsipas beat Taylor Fritz 3-6, 7-5, 6-3, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Taylor Fritz at 57%.
What is the head-to-head record between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Taylor Fritz?
Stefanos Tsitsipas leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 12, 2026, won by Stefanos Tsitsipas 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 at China Shangai - Masters.
Who is in better form, Stefanos Tsitsipas or Taylor Fritz?
Stefanos Tsitsipas is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Taylor Fritz is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Stefanos Tsitsipas and Taylor Fritz?
Stefanos Tsitsipas is rated 6910 (ATP #34) and Taylor Fritz is rated 6955 (ATP #11). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz?
Stefanos Tsitsipas is priced at +172 and Taylor Fritz at -217, which implies a 37% and 68% chance to win. The model rates Stefanos Tsitsipas 6 points higher than the odds do (43% vs 37%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.