Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang

WTA Osaka (IX) (Japan), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 07:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Tereza Valentova, giving them a 61% chance to win against Shuai Zhang (39%). Tereza Valentova leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Valentova is 7-3 in their last 10, Zhang 5-5. At +199, the odds imply 33% for Shuai Zhang, below the model's 39%.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Tereza Valentova a 61% favorite. At +199 the sportsbook implies 33% for Shuai Zhang, 6 points below the model's 39%.

Model
61%
Book
71%

Model minus book: -10 pts

Model
39%
Book
33%

Model minus book: +6 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Shuai Zhang at +199 · Model track record

Player comparison

Tereza ValentovaShuai Zhang
Tennis Gauge rating70006987
Tour rankWTA #69WTA #78
Last 10 matches7-35-5
Last 30 days1-04-3
Current streak1 Loss1 Loss
Season record31-2236-33
UTR12.3412.15
Elo (52 weeks)18111719
Best surfaceClayGrass
Worst surfaceGrassClay

Head to head

Tereza Valentova leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
25.10.2026Tereza Valentova7-5, 6-2Japan Tokyo
20.10.2026Tereza Valentova6-2, 1-6, 6-4Japan Osaka

Recent form

Tereza Valentova, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Mia Pohankova L6-1, 6-4
25.10.2026Shuai Zhang W7-5, 6-2
24.10.2026En Shuo Liang W6-2, 3-6, 6-2
21.10.2026Lilli Tagger L7-5, 6-3
20.10.2026Shuai Zhang W6-2, 1-6, 6-4
29.08.2026Katie Volynets L6-3, 7-5
28.08.2026Julia Grabher W6-3, 6-1
27.08.2026Kylie Collins W6-1, 6-2
26.08.2026Fangran Tian W6-3, 6-1
24.08.2026Ariana Arseneault W7-6, 6-1

Shuai Zhang, last 10

DateOpponentScore
25.10.2026Tereza Valentova L7-5, 6-2
24.10.2026Kayla Day W6-3, 3-6, 7-5
20.10.2026Tereza Valentova L6-2, 1-6, 6-4
13.10.2026Ashlyn Krueger L6-3, 6-0
02.10.2026Xiyu Wang L6-2, 6-1
01.10.2026Yulia Putintseva W6-4, 6-2
30.09.2026Himeno Sakatsume W6-4, 6-3
29.09.2026Meshkatolzahra Safi W6-1, 6-0
24.09.2026Elisabetta Cocciaretto W6-0, 6-2
30.08.2026Leylah Fernandez L6-3, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentTereza ValentovaShuai Zhang
Alexandra Eala 1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
0-1
L 6-3, 6-2
Elena Rybakina 0-1
L 6-2, 6-3
0-1
L 6-3, 7-5
Hannah Klugman 1-0
W 7-5, 5-7, 7-5
1-0
W 6-2, 4-6, 6-4
Jelena Ostapenko 1-0
W 7-5, 3-2
1-0
W 6-0, 4-0
Karolina Muchova 1-1
L 6-1, 6-4, W 6-2, 6-2
0-2
L 6-3, 6-2, L 6-1, 6-3
Linda Noskova 0-1
L 6-3, 7-6
0-1
L 5-7, 6-1, 6-4
Vera Zvonareva 1-0
W 7-6, 6-0
0-1
L 6-3, 6-3
Yulia Putintseva 1-1
W 6-3, 6-2, L 6-4, 4-6, 6-3
2-0
W 6-4, 6-2, W 6-4, 6-1

Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang: quick answers

Who will win Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Tereza Valentova, giving them a 61% chance to win against Shuai Zhang (39%).

What is the head-to-head record between Tereza Valentova and Shuai Zhang?

Tereza Valentova leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 25, 2026, won by Tereza Valentova 7-5, 6-2 at Japan Tokyo.

Who is in better form, Tereza Valentova or Shuai Zhang?

Tereza Valentova is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Shuai Zhang is 5-5 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Tereza Valentova and Shuai Zhang?

Tereza Valentova is rated 7000 (WTA #69) and Shuai Zhang is rated 6987 (WTA #78). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang?

Tereza Valentova is priced at -250 and Shuai Zhang at +199, which implies a 71% and 33% chance to win. The model rates Shuai Zhang 6 points higher than the odds do (39% vs 33%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.