Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki
Updated
Shintaro Mochizuki beat Yosuke Watanuki 4-6, 6-2, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Shintaro Mochizuki leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Mochizuki is 5-5 in their last 10, Watanuki 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Shintaro Mochizuki a 58% favorite. At +120 the sportsbook implies 45% for Shintaro Mochizuki, 12 points below the model's 58%.
Model minus book: +12 pts
Model minus book: -20 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Shintaro Mochizuki at +120 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Shintaro Mochizuki | Yosuke Watanuki | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6757 | 6707 |
| Tour rank | ATP #150 | ATP #208 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 5-3 | 4-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 26-36 | 18-17 |
| UTR | 14.49 | 14.38 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1560 | 1526 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Clay |
Head to head
Shintaro Mochizuki leads 2-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 | China Jinan |
| 16.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 | China Jinan |
Recent form
Shintaro Mochizuki, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26.10.2026 | Federico Cina | L | 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Mattia Bellucci | L | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Yosuke Watanuki | W | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Dane Sweeny | W | 6-3, 7-6 |
| 13.10.2026 | Facundo Diaz Acosta | W | 6-2, 7-6 |
| 06.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Taro Daniel | W | 2-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Jaime Faria | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 24.09.2026 | Martin Damm | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
Yosuke Watanuki, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 16.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | L | 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 |
| 15.10.2026 | Marin Cilic | W | 7-5, 6-4 |
| 14.10.2026 | Andre Ilagan | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Kaito Uesugi | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 11.10.2026 | Semen Pankin | W | 6-1, 6-0 |
| 30.09.2026 | Coleman Wong | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.9.2026 | Marat Sharipov | L | 6-7, 7-5, 6-2 |
| 02.09.2026 | Chun Hsin Tseng | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 31.08.2026 | Semen Pankin | W | 6-3, 7-5 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Shintaro Mochizuki | Yosuke Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Cina | 0-1 L 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-4 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
| Vitaliy Sachko | 1-0 W 6-3, 7-6 |
0-1 L 6-2, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: ATP Jinan (China), model gave Shintaro Mochizuki 62% at +120
Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki: quick answers
Who won Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki?
Shintaro Mochizuki beat Yosuke Watanuki 4-6, 6-2, 7-6, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Yosuke Watanuki?
Shintaro Mochizuki leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Shintaro Mochizuki 4-6, 6-2, 7-6 at China Jinan.
Who is in better form, Shintaro Mochizuki or Yosuke Watanuki?
Shintaro Mochizuki is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Yosuke Watanuki is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Shintaro Mochizuki and Yosuke Watanuki?
Shintaro Mochizuki is rated 6757 (ATP #150) and Yosuke Watanuki is rated 6707 (ATP #208). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki?
Shintaro Mochizuki is priced at +120 and Yosuke Watanuki at -161, which implies a 45% and 62% chance to win. The model rates Shintaro Mochizuki 12 points higher than the odds do (58% vs 45%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.