Tristan Schoolkate vs Sergey Fomin

ATP Guangzhou (China), Hard. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 04:10.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Tristan Schoolkate, giving them a 85% chance to win against Sergey Fomin (15%). Tristan Schoolkate leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Schoolkate is 6-4 in their last 10, Fomin 3-7.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Tristan Schoolkate a 85% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
85%
Book
83%

Model minus book: +2 pts

Model
15%
Book
23%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tristan Schoolkate at -500 · Model track record

Player comparison

Tristan SchoolkateSergey Fomin
Tennis Gauge rating67086522
Tour rankATP #206ATP #485
Last 10 matches6-43-7
Last 30 days2-43-4
Current streak1 Loss3 Losses
Season record38-3136-31
UTR14.5513.86
Elo (52 weeks)15611297
Best surfaceGrassClay
Worst surfaceClayHard

Head to head

Tristan Schoolkate leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Tristan Schoolkate6-2, 4-6, 6-4China Guangzhou

Recent form

Tristan Schoolkate, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Jie Cui L6-2, 3-6, 6-2
27.10.2026Masamichi Imamura W6-4, 6-3
25.10.2026Coleman Wong W4-6, 7-6, 6-4
24.10.2026Jie Cui W6-7, 6-4, 7-6
23.10.2026Keegan Smith W7-6, 6-3
20.10.2026Sergey Fomin W6-2, 4-6, 6-4
14.10.2026Luka Pavlovic L7-5, 6-4
05.10.2026Dane Sweeny L3-6, 6-3, 6-2
01.10.2026Harold Mayot L6-4, 2-6, 6-4
30.09.2026Philip Henning W6-3, 6-4

Sergey Fomin, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Liam Broady L5-7, 7-6, 6-2
20.10.2026Tristan Schoolkate L6-2, 4-6, 6-4
17.10.2026Martin Borisiouk L6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Yusuke Takahashi W6-4, 6-1
15.10.2026Matthew Shearer W6-2, 6-2
14.10.2026Dominik Palan W7-6, 7-5
05.10.2026Timofei Derepasko L6-2, 7-6
30.09.2026Sumit Nagal L6-3, 6-2
16.09.2026Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong L6-3, 6-1
08.09.2026Yi Zhou L7-6, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentTristan SchoolkateSergey Fomin
Fajing Sun 0-1
L 7-6, 6-2
0-1
L 6-4, 6-4
Liam Broady 1-0
W 6-7, 6-3, 6-2
0-1
L 5-7, 7-6, 6-2
Marek Gengel 1-0
W 6-1, 6-3
0-2
L 6-3, 6-1, L 6-1, 6-4
Masamichi Imamura 1-0
W 6-4, 6-3
1-0
W 6-2, 6-1
Moerani Bouzige 1-0
W 7-6, 6-2
2-0
W 1-6, 7-6, 6-4, W 6-4, 1-6, 7-5

Tristan Schoolkate vs Sergey Fomin: quick answers

Who will win Tristan Schoolkate vs Sergey Fomin?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Tristan Schoolkate, giving them a 85% chance to win against Sergey Fomin (15%).

What is the head-to-head record between Tristan Schoolkate and Sergey Fomin?

Tristan Schoolkate leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Tristan Schoolkate 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 at China Guangzhou.

Who is in better form, Tristan Schoolkate or Sergey Fomin?

Tristan Schoolkate is 6-4 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Sergey Fomin is 3-7 (current streak: 3 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Tristan Schoolkate and Sergey Fomin?

Tristan Schoolkate is rated 6708 (ATP #206) and Sergey Fomin is rated 6522 (ATP #485). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Tristan Schoolkate vs Sergey Fomin?

Tristan Schoolkate is priced at -500 and Sergey Fomin at +338, which implies a 83% and 23% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.