Semen Pankin vs Yosuke Watanuki

ATP Jinan (China), Hard. Saturday, October 10, 2026, 11:30.

Updated

Yosuke Watanuki beat Semen Pankin 6-1, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Yosuke Watanuki leads 2-0 in their head-to-head. Pankin is 4-6 in their last 10, Watanuki 5-5.

Result: Yosuke Watanuki beat Semen Pankin 6-1, 6-0. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Yosuke Watanuki a 67% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
33%
Book
38%

Model minus book: -6 pts

Model
67%
Book
69%

Model minus book: -2 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Yosuke Watanuki at -227 · Model track record

Player comparison

Semen PankinYosuke Watanuki
Tennis Gauge rating64576707
Tour rankATP #626ATP #208
Last 10 matches4-65-5
Last 30 days1-40-1
Current streak1 Loss2 Losses
Season record71-2918-17
UTR14.014.38
Elo (52 weeks)13001526
Best surfaceGrassGrass
Worst surfaceClayClay

Head to head

Yosuke Watanuki leads 2-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
11.10.2026Yosuke Watanuki6-1, 6-0China Jinan
31.08.2026Yosuke Watanuki6-3, 7-5China Zhangjiagang

Recent form

Semen Pankin, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Petr Bar Biryukov L6-7, 7-6, 6-4
26.10.2026Egor Pleshivtsev W6-3, 6-4
25.10.2026Maxim Zhukov W6-4, 7-6
19.10.2026Dominik Palan L6-4, 6-2
18.10.2026Xi Cheng Huang W6-2, 6-1
11.10.2026Yosuke Watanuki L6-1, 6-0
05.10.2026Marat Sharipov L7-5, 6-4
29.09.2026Alex Bolt L6-3, 6-2
24.09.2026Sheng Tang L7-6, 6-4
22.09.2026Yaojie Zeng W6-4, 6-1

Yosuke Watanuki, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Shintaro Mochizuki L4-6, 6-2, 7-6
16.10.2026Shintaro Mochizuki L4-6, 6-2, 7-6
15.10.2026Marin Cilic W7-5, 6-4
14.10.2026Andre Ilagan W6-2, 6-2
13.10.2026Kaito Uesugi W6-2, 6-2
11.10.2026Semen Pankin W6-1, 6-0
30.09.2026Coleman Wong L7-6, 6-3
07.9.2026Marat Sharipov L6-7, 7-5, 6-2
02.09.2026Chun Hsin Tseng L7-5, 6-3
31.08.2026Semen Pankin W6-3, 7-5

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSemen PankinYosuke Watanuki
Elias Ymer 0-1
L 5-7, 7-5, 6-3
1-0
W 3-6, 6-1, 6-4
Marat Sharipov 0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
0-1
L 6-7, 7-5, 6-2
Toby Samuel 0-1
L 6-2, 6-1
0-1
L 6-0, 6-1

Semen Pankin vs Yosuke Watanuki: quick answers

Who won Semen Pankin vs Yosuke Watanuki?

Yosuke Watanuki beat Semen Pankin 6-1, 6-0, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Semen Pankin and Yosuke Watanuki?

Yosuke Watanuki leads 2-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 11, 2026, won by Yosuke Watanuki 6-1, 6-0 at China Jinan.

Who is in better form, Semen Pankin or Yosuke Watanuki?

Semen Pankin is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Yosuke Watanuki is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Semen Pankin and Yosuke Watanuki?

Semen Pankin is rated 6457 (ATP #626) and Yosuke Watanuki is rated 6707 (ATP #208). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Semen Pankin vs Yosuke Watanuki?

Semen Pankin is priced at +162 and Yosuke Watanuki at -227, which implies a 38% and 69% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.