Sara Victoria Balan vs Sophie Luescher

WTA of Moldova Chisinau (X) (Republic of Moldova), Clay. Friday, October 16, 2026, 01:00.

Updated

Sophie Luescher beat Sara Victoria Balan 7-6, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sara Victoria Balan at 56%. Sophie Luescher leads 3-0 in their head-to-head. Balan is 4-6 in their last 10, Luescher 8-2.

Result: Sophie Luescher beat Sara Victoria Balan 7-6, 7-5. An upset by the model's numbers: it favored Sara Victoria Balan.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sara Victoria Balan a 56% favorite. At -111 the sportsbook implies 53% for Sara Victoria Balan, 3 points below the model's 56%.

Model
56%
Book
53%

Model minus book: +3 pts

Model
44%
Book
56%

Model minus book: -12 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sara Victoria Balan at -111 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sara Victoria BalanSophie Luescher
Tennis Gauge rating62896237
Tour rankWTA #1037WTA #1189
Last 10 matches4-68-2
Last 30 days2-16-1
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record35-2035-16
UTR10.5810.22

Head to head

Sophie Luescher leads 3-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
16.10.2026Sophie Luescher7-6, 7-5Republic of Moldova Chisinau
16.10.2026Sophie Luescher7-6, 7-5Republic of Moldova Chisinau
06.10.2026Sophie Luescher5-7, 7-6, 7-6Republic of Moldova Chisinau

Recent form

Sara Victoria Balan, last 10

DateOpponentScore
16.10.2026Sophie Luescher L7-6, 7-5
16.10.2026Sophie Luescher L7-6, 7-5
15.10.2026Anna Lena Ebster W6-2, 6-7, 6-0
14.10.2026Anastasia Nikolaieva W6-7, 6-2, 6-4
06.10.2026Sophie Luescher L5-7, 7-6, 7-6
26.08.2026Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa L7-6, 6-1
11.08.2026Carolina Kuhl L7-6, 2-0
25.07.2026Ilinca Dalina Amariei L6-1, 7-6
24.07.2026Katarina Kujovic W3-6, 6-4, 6-3
23.07.2026Juliana Nicole Singeorzan W6-1, 6-2

Sophie Luescher, last 10

DateOpponentScore
23.10.2026Maria Aran Teixido Garcia L6-4, 5-7, 6-3
22.10.2026Carmen Gallardo Guevara W6-3, 6-0
21.10.2026Celia Cervino Ruiz W7-5, 6-3
20.10.2026Analu Freitas W6-1, 6-1
19.10.2026Matilde Novais W2-6, 6-2, 10-8
17.10.2026Giulia Safina Popa L6-2, 6-3
16.10.2026Sara Victoria Balan W7-6, 7-5
16.10.2026Sara Victoria Balan W7-6, 7-5
15.10.2026Melinda Biro W6-4, 6-2
14.10.2026Maria Mikhailova W6-2, 6-0

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSara Victoria BalanSophie Luescher
Melinda Biro 1-0
W 6-3, 6-4
1-0
W 6-4, 6-2
Stela Dzimovic 1-0
W 6-1, 6-1
1-0
W 7-5, 7-6

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-15: WTA of Moldova Chisinau (X) (Republic of Moldova), model gave Sara Victoria Balan 56% at -111

Sara Victoria Balan vs Sophie Luescher: quick answers

Who won Sara Victoria Balan vs Sophie Luescher?

Sophie Luescher beat Sara Victoria Balan 7-6, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sara Victoria Balan at 56%.

What is the head-to-head record between Sara Victoria Balan and Sophie Luescher?

Sophie Luescher leads 3-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Sophie Luescher 7-6, 7-5 at Republic of Moldova Chisinau.

Who is in better form, Sara Victoria Balan or Sophie Luescher?

Sara Victoria Balan is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Sophie Luescher is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sara Victoria Balan and Sophie Luescher?

Sara Victoria Balan is rated 6289 (WTA #1037) and Sophie Luescher is rated 6237 (WTA #1189). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sara Victoria Balan vs Sophie Luescher?

Sara Victoria Balan is priced at -111 and Sophie Luescher at -128, which implies a 53% and 56% chance to win. The model rates Sara Victoria Balan 3 points higher than the odds do (56% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.