Sara Victoria Balan vs Sophie Luescher
Updated
Sophie Luescher beat Sara Victoria Balan 7-6, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sara Victoria Balan at 56%. Sophie Luescher leads 3-0 in their head-to-head. Balan is 4-6 in their last 10, Luescher 8-2.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Sara Victoria Balan a 56% favorite. At -111 the sportsbook implies 53% for Sara Victoria Balan, 3 points below the model's 56%.
Model minus book: +3 pts
Model minus book: -12 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sara Victoria Balan at -111 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sara Victoria Balan | Sophie Luescher | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6289 | 6237 |
| Tour rank | WTA #1037 | WTA #1189 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 8-2 |
| Last 30 days | 2-1 | 6-1 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 35-20 | 35-16 |
| UTR | 10.58 | 10.22 |
Head to head
Sophie Luescher leads 3-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Sophie Luescher | 7-6, 7-5 | Republic of Moldova Chisinau |
| 16.10.2026 | Sophie Luescher | 7-6, 7-5 | Republic of Moldova Chisinau |
| 06.10.2026 | Sophie Luescher | 5-7, 7-6, 7-6 | Republic of Moldova Chisinau |
Recent form
Sara Victoria Balan, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.10.2026 | Sophie Luescher | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sophie Luescher | L | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Anna Lena Ebster | W | 6-2, 6-7, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Anastasia Nikolaieva | W | 6-7, 6-2, 6-4 |
| 06.10.2026 | Sophie Luescher | L | 5-7, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 26.08.2026 | Ingrid Ioana Sanduleasa | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 11.08.2026 | Carolina Kuhl | L | 7-6, 2-0 |
| 25.07.2026 | Ilinca Dalina Amariei | L | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 24.07.2026 | Katarina Kujovic | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 23.07.2026 | Juliana Nicole Singeorzan | W | 6-1, 6-2 |
Sophie Luescher, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Maria Aran Teixido Garcia | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 21.10.2026 | Celia Cervino Ruiz | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Analu Freitas | W | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Matilde Novais | W | 2-6, 6-2, 10-8 |
| 17.10.2026 | Giulia Safina Popa | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sara Victoria Balan | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 16.10.2026 | Sara Victoria Balan | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 15.10.2026 | Melinda Biro | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 14.10.2026 | Maria Mikhailova | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sara Victoria Balan | Sophie Luescher |
|---|---|---|
| Melinda Biro | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-2 |
| Stela Dzimovic | 1-0 W 6-1, 6-1 |
1-0 W 7-5, 7-6 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-15: WTA of Moldova Chisinau (X) (Republic of Moldova), model gave Sara Victoria Balan 56% at -111
Sara Victoria Balan vs Sophie Luescher: quick answers
Who won Sara Victoria Balan vs Sophie Luescher?
Sophie Luescher beat Sara Victoria Balan 7-6, 7-5, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sara Victoria Balan at 56%.
What is the head-to-head record between Sara Victoria Balan and Sophie Luescher?
Sophie Luescher leads 3-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 16, 2026, won by Sophie Luescher 7-6, 7-5 at Republic of Moldova Chisinau.
Who is in better form, Sara Victoria Balan or Sophie Luescher?
Sara Victoria Balan is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Sophie Luescher is 8-2 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sara Victoria Balan and Sophie Luescher?
Sara Victoria Balan is rated 6289 (WTA #1037) and Sophie Luescher is rated 6237 (WTA #1189). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sara Victoria Balan vs Sophie Luescher?
Sara Victoria Balan is priced at -111 and Sophie Luescher at -128, which implies a 53% and 56% chance to win. The model rates Sara Victoria Balan 3 points higher than the odds do (56% vs 53%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.