Sara Mikaca vs Serena Paris
Updated
Serena Paris beat Sara Mikaca 6-4, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sara Mikaca at 75%. Serena Paris leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Mikaca is 4-6 in their last 10, Paris 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Sara Mikaca a 75% favorite. At +435 the sportsbook implies 19% for Serena Paris, 6 points below the model's 25%.
Model minus book: -15 pts
Model minus book: +6 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Serena Paris at +435 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sara Mikaca | Serena Paris | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6309 | 5975 |
| Tour rank | WTA #963 | WTA #2234 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 34-28 | 20-14 |
| UTR | 10.35 | 9.46 |
Head to head
Serena Paris leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Serena Paris | 6-4, 6-2 | Croatia Bol |
Recent form
Sara Mikaca, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.10.2026 | Tara Wurth | L | 6-1, 5-7, 10-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Lucia Natal Gomez | W | 2-6, 7-6, 7-6 |
| 14.10.2026 | Serena Paris | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 06.10.2026 | Katerina Zajickova | L | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 02.09.2026 | Stella Cinkanicova | L | 3-6, 6-4, 7-5 |
| 24.08.2026 | Ekaterina Perelygina | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 23.08.2026 | Andrea Obradovic | W | 7-6, 7-5 |
| 02.08.2026 | Alja Senica | L | 6-4, 5-7, 6-3 |
| 01.08.2026 | Eszter Meri | W | 7-6, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 31.07.2026 | Lavinia Luciano | W | 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 |
Serena Paris, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.10.2026 | Viktoria Varga | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 18.10.2026 | Alisa Garifullina | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 15.10.2026 | Anita Tu | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 14.10.2026 | Sara Mikaca | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Victoria Borodulina | W | 6-4, 6-7, 10-6 |
| 12.10.2026 | Sameeksha Shroff | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 28.09.2026 | Beatris Spasova | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.09.2026 | Milana Konovalova | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.09.2026 | Joulia Cristiana Cirstea | L | 6-3, 6-7, 10-2 |
| 20.09.2026 | Dimitra Georgakopoulou | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sara Mikaca | Serena Paris |
|---|---|---|
| Melinda Biro | 1-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: WTA Bol (X) (Croatia), model gave Sara Mikaca 75% at -909
Sara Mikaca vs Serena Paris: quick answers
Who won Sara Mikaca vs Serena Paris?
Serena Paris beat Sara Mikaca 6-4, 6-2, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Sara Mikaca at 75%.
What is the head-to-head record between Sara Mikaca and Serena Paris?
Serena Paris leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Serena Paris 6-4, 6-2 at Croatia Bol.
Who is in better form, Sara Mikaca or Serena Paris?
Sara Mikaca is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Serena Paris is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sara Mikaca and Serena Paris?
Sara Mikaca is rated 6309 (WTA #963) and Serena Paris is rated 5975 (WTA #2234). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sara Mikaca vs Serena Paris?
Sara Mikaca is priced at -909 and Serena Paris at +435, which implies a 90% and 19% chance to win. The model rates Serena Paris 6 points higher than the odds do (25% vs 19%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.