Samuele Seghetti vs Thiago Agustin Pernas
Updated
Thiago Agustin Pernas beat Samuele Seghetti 6-4, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Samuele Seghetti at 54%. Thiago Agustin Pernas leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Seghetti is 4-6 in their last 10, Pernas 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Samuele Seghetti a 54% favorite. At +186 the sportsbook implies 35% for Thiago Agustin Pernas, 11 points below the model's 46%.
Model minus book: -21 pts
Model minus book: +11 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Thiago Agustin Pernas at +186 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Samuele Seghetti | Thiago Agustin Pernas | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6356 | 6268 |
| Tour rank | ATP #927 | ATP #1287 |
| Last 10 matches | 4-6 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 2-3 | 6-3 |
| Current streak | 2 Losses | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 12-15 | 37-23 |
| UTR | 12.9 | 12.96 |
Head to head
Thiago Agustin Pernas leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Thiago Agustin Pernas | 6-4, 6-1 | Tunisia Monastir |
Recent form
Samuele Seghetti, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.2026 | Thiago Agustin Pernas | L | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 01.10.2026 | Jakub Nicod | L | 7-6, 2-6, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Karlo Kajin | W | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Gianmarco Ferrari | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 22.09.2026 | Alessandro Bellifemine | W | 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Eric Vanshelboim | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 14.09.2026 | Flavio Bocci | W | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 13.09.2026 | Pasquale De Giorgio | W | 4-6, 6-3, 1-0 |
| 01.09.2026 | Blu Baker | L | 6-2, 4-6, 6-1 |
| 27.08.2026 | Kenny De Schepper | L | 5-7, 7-5, 6-3 |
Thiago Agustin Pernas, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.10.2026 | Sergio Callejon Hernando | L | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 14.10.2026 | Samuele Seghetti | W | 6-4, 6-1 |
| 06.10.2026 | John Echeverria | L | 6-3, 7-5 |
| 03.10.2026 | Felix Romeo | W | 3-0 |
| 02.10.2026 | Clement Hacquard | W | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 02.10.2026 | Julien Dando | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Aurelien Ferrer | W | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 29.09.2026 | Sean Hodkin | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 26.09.2026 | Sebastian Prechtel | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 24.09.2026 | Raul Clarijs | W | 6-3, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Samuele Seghetti | Thiago Agustin Pernas |
|---|---|---|
| Oriol Roca Batalla | 0-1 L 6-3, 3-6, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-13: ATP Monastir (X) II (Tunisia), model gave Samuele Seghetti 54% at -294
Samuele Seghetti vs Thiago Agustin Pernas: quick answers
Who won Samuele Seghetti vs Thiago Agustin Pernas?
Thiago Agustin Pernas beat Samuele Seghetti 6-4, 6-1, an upset by the model's numbers, which favored Samuele Seghetti at 54%.
What is the head-to-head record between Samuele Seghetti and Thiago Agustin Pernas?
Thiago Agustin Pernas leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Thiago Agustin Pernas 6-4, 6-1 at Tunisia Monastir.
Who is in better form, Samuele Seghetti or Thiago Agustin Pernas?
Samuele Seghetti is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Thiago Agustin Pernas is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Samuele Seghetti and Thiago Agustin Pernas?
Samuele Seghetti is rated 6356 (ATP #927) and Thiago Agustin Pernas is rated 6268 (ATP #1287). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Samuele Seghetti vs Thiago Agustin Pernas?
Samuele Seghetti is priced at -294 and Thiago Agustin Pernas at +186, which implies a 75% and 35% chance to win. The model rates Thiago Agustin Pernas 11 points higher than the odds do (46% vs 35%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.