Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Roman Safiullin, giving them a 79% chance to win against Sho Shimabukuro (21%). Sho Shimabukuro leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Shimabukuro is 5-5 in their last 10, Safiullin 6-4.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Roman Safiullin a 79% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.
Model minus book: +2 pts
Model minus book: -8 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Roman Safiullin at -714 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Sho Shimabukuro | Roman Safiullin | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6775 | 6847 |
| Tour rank | ATP #135 | ATP #86 |
| Last 10 matches | 5-5 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-3 | 9-4 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Loss |
| Season record | 35-31 | 41-18 |
| UTR | 14.85 | 15.79 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1598 | 1816 |
| Best surface | Grass | Grass |
| Worst surface | Clay | Hard |
Head to head
Sho Shimabukuro leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 | Kazakhstan Almaty |
Recent form
Sho Shimabukuro, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Jay Dylan Hara Friend | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 27.10.2026 | Jan Kumstat | W | 6-4, 6-0 |
| 22.10.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 20.10.2026 | Roman Safiullin | W | 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 07.10.2026 | Miomir Kecmanovic | L | 6-2, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Denis Shapovalov | L | 7-5, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Hugo Gaston | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.09.2026 | Anton Shepp | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 19.09.2026 | James Watt | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-4 |
| 30.08.2026 | Arthur Rinderknech | L | 6-7, 6-2, 7-6, 6-2 |
Roman Safiullin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Sho Shimabukuro | L | 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Ilia Simakin | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 17.10.2026 | Ilya Ivashka | W | 6-1, 6-7, 6-4 |
| 09.10.2026 | Francisco Cerundolo | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 07.10.2026 | Rinky Hijikata | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 06.10.2026 | Shintaro Mochizuki | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 05.10.2026 | Alexis Galarneau | W | 6-3, 6-0 |
| 03.10.2026 | Andrey Rublev | L | 6-2, 3-6, 6-4 |
| 01.10.2026 | Flavio Cobolli | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 28.09.2026 | Daniil Medvedev | L | 7-5, 6-4 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Sho Shimabukuro | Roman Safiullin |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-1 |
0-1 L 7-5, 6-4 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0-1 L 6-2, 6-4 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-3 |
| Ilia Simakin | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-1 |
| Jaime Faria | 0-1 L 7-6, 6-3, 6-7, 6-3 |
2-0 W 4-6, 6-4, 7-6, W 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
| Quentin Halys | 1-1 W 6-4, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-0 W 5-7, 6-3, 6-4 |
| Rinky Hijikata | 1-0 W 6-4, 6-4 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | 1-0 W 7-6, 6-4 |
1-0 W 6-2, 6-3 |
Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin: quick answers
Who will win Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Roman Safiullin, giving them a 79% chance to win against Sho Shimabukuro (21%).
What is the head-to-head record between Sho Shimabukuro and Roman Safiullin?
Sho Shimabukuro leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Sho Shimabukuro 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 at Kazakhstan Almaty.
Who is in better form, Sho Shimabukuro or Roman Safiullin?
Sho Shimabukuro is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Roman Safiullin is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Sho Shimabukuro and Roman Safiullin?
Sho Shimabukuro is rated 6775 (ATP #135) and Roman Safiullin is rated 6847 (ATP #86). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin?
Sho Shimabukuro is priced at +444 and Roman Safiullin at -714, which implies a 18% and 88% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.