Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin

ATP Almaty (IX) (Kazakhstan), Indoors. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 11:35.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Roman Safiullin, giving them a 79% chance to win against Sho Shimabukuro (21%). Sho Shimabukuro leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Shimabukuro is 5-5 in their last 10, Safiullin 6-4.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Roman Safiullin a 79% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
21%
Book
18%

Model minus book: +2 pts

Model
79%
Book
88%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Roman Safiullin at -714 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sho ShimabukuroRoman Safiullin
Tennis Gauge rating67756847
Tour rankATP #135ATP #86
Last 10 matches5-56-4
Last 30 days1-39-4
Current streak2 Wins1 Loss
Season record35-3141-18
UTR14.8515.79
Elo (52 weeks)15981816
Best surfaceGrassGrass
Worst surfaceClayHard

Head to head

Sho Shimabukuro leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Sho Shimabukuro6-7, 6-4, 6-4Kazakhstan Almaty

Recent form

Sho Shimabukuro, last 10

DateOpponentScore
29.10.2026Jay Dylan Hara Friend W6-3, 6-1
27.10.2026Jan Kumstat W6-4, 6-0
22.10.2026Daniil Medvedev L6-2, 6-1
20.10.2026Roman Safiullin W6-7, 6-4, 6-4
07.10.2026Miomir Kecmanovic L6-2, 6-4
01.10.2026Denis Shapovalov L7-5, 6-1
24.09.2026Hugo Gaston L6-4, 6-4
20.09.2026Anton Shepp W6-3, 6-3
19.09.2026James Watt W3-6, 6-3, 6-4
30.08.2026Arthur Rinderknech L6-7, 6-2, 7-6, 6-2

Roman Safiullin, last 10

DateOpponentScore
20.10.2026Sho Shimabukuro L6-7, 6-4, 6-4
18.10.2026Ilia Simakin W7-6, 6-1
17.10.2026Ilya Ivashka W6-1, 6-7, 6-4
09.10.2026Francisco Cerundolo L7-6, 6-3
07.10.2026Rinky Hijikata W7-5, 6-3
06.10.2026Shintaro Mochizuki W6-2, 6-3
05.10.2026Alexis Galarneau W6-3, 6-0
03.10.2026Andrey Rublev L6-2, 3-6, 6-4
01.10.2026Flavio Cobolli W6-3, 6-2
28.09.2026Daniil Medvedev L7-5, 6-4

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSho ShimabukuroRoman Safiullin
Daniil Medvedev 0-1
L 6-2, 6-1
0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
Hubert Hurkacz 0-1
L 6-2, 6-4
0-1
L 6-4, 6-3
Ilia Simakin 1-0
W 6-3, 6-3
1-0
W 7-6, 6-1
Jaime Faria 0-1
L 7-6, 6-3, 6-7, 6-3
2-0
W 4-6, 6-4, 7-6, W 4-6, 6-3, 7-6
Quentin Halys 1-1
W 6-4, 6-2, L 6-4, 6-2
1-0
W 5-7, 6-3, 6-4
Rinky Hijikata 1-0
W 6-4, 6-4
1-0
W 7-5, 6-3
Shintaro Mochizuki 1-0
W 7-6, 6-4
1-0
W 6-2, 6-3

Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin: quick answers

Who will win Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Roman Safiullin, giving them a 79% chance to win against Sho Shimabukuro (21%).

What is the head-to-head record between Sho Shimabukuro and Roman Safiullin?

Sho Shimabukuro leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Sho Shimabukuro 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 at Kazakhstan Almaty.

Who is in better form, Sho Shimabukuro or Roman Safiullin?

Sho Shimabukuro is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Roman Safiullin is 6-4 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sho Shimabukuro and Roman Safiullin?

Sho Shimabukuro is rated 6775 (ATP #135) and Roman Safiullin is rated 6847 (ATP #86). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin?

Sho Shimabukuro is priced at +444 and Roman Safiullin at -714, which implies a 18% and 88% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.