Roger Pascual Ferra vs Tomasz Berkieta

ATP Austin (USA), Hard. Wednesday, October 14, 2026, 11:00.

Updated

Roger Pascual Ferra beat Tomasz Berkieta 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Roger Pascual Ferra leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Ferra is 7-3 in their last 10, Berkieta 7-3.

Result: Roger Pascual Ferra beat Tomasz Berkieta 6-4, 6-2. The model's pick won.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Roger Pascual Ferra a 75% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
75%
Book
74%

Model minus book: +1 pts

Model
25%
Book
36%

Model minus book: -11 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Roger Pascual Ferra at -286 · Model track record

Player comparison

Roger Pascual FerraTomasz Berkieta
Tennis Gauge rating65316484
Tour rankATP #467ATP #550
Last 10 matches7-37-3
Last 30 days0-00-0
Current streak2 Losses1 Loss
Season record43-1437-25
UTR14.1713.72
Elo (52 weeks)–1212
Best surface–Hard
Worst surface–Clay

Head to head

Roger Pascual Ferra leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
14.10.2026Roger Pascual Ferra6-4, 6-2USA Austin

Recent form

Roger Pascual Ferra, last 10

DateOpponentScore
18.10.2026Duncan Chan L7-6, 2-6, 6-3
15.10.2026Lui Maxted L6-0, 6-1
14.10.2026Tomasz Berkieta W6-4, 6-2
27.09.2026Keegan Rice W6-3, 6-1
26.09.2026Nicolas Arseneault W6-4, 7-5
25.09.2026Theo Papamalamis W6-3, 6-1
25.09.2026Sasha Rozin W6-2, 6-2
24.09.2026Emon Van Loben Sels W7-5, 6-1
23.09.2026Luca Preda W6-2, 7-6
14.09.2026Luca Staeheli L4-6, 6-2, 6-3

Tomasz Berkieta, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026Liam Draxl L7-6, 7-6
26.10.2026Spencer Johnson W3-6, 7-5, 6-2
25.10.2026Erik Arutiunian W6-2, 7-5
21.10.2026Nicolas Arseneault L6-3, 3-6, 7-6
14.10.2026Roger Pascual Ferra L6-4, 6-2
12.10.2026Niksa Arsic W6-2, 6-4
11.10.2026Georgi Georgiev W6-7, 7-5, 6-2
10.10.2026Kaj Quirijns W6-2, 6-3
10.10.2026Filip Paroulek W6-1, 6-3
09.10.2026Gabriel Porras W6-4, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentRoger Pascual FerraTomasz Berkieta
Matt Kuhar 1-0
W 6-1, 6-4
1-0
W 6-3, 3-6, 6-3
Nicolas Arseneault 1-0
W 6-4, 7-5
0-1
L 6-3, 3-6, 7-6
Theo Papamalamis 1-0
W 6-3, 6-1
0-1
L 4-6, 6-2, 6-1

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-10-13: ATP Austin (USA), model gave Roger Pascual Ferra 75% at -286

Roger Pascual Ferra vs Tomasz Berkieta: quick answers

Who won Roger Pascual Ferra vs Tomasz Berkieta?

Roger Pascual Ferra beat Tomasz Berkieta 6-4, 6-2, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.

What is the head-to-head record between Roger Pascual Ferra and Tomasz Berkieta?

Roger Pascual Ferra leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 14, 2026, won by Roger Pascual Ferra 6-4, 6-2 at USA Austin.

Who is in better form, Roger Pascual Ferra or Tomasz Berkieta?

Roger Pascual Ferra is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Tomasz Berkieta is 7-3 (current streak: 1 Loss).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Roger Pascual Ferra and Tomasz Berkieta?

Roger Pascual Ferra is rated 6531 (ATP #467) and Tomasz Berkieta is rated 6484 (ATP #550). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Roger Pascual Ferra vs Tomasz Berkieta?

Roger Pascual Ferra is priced at -286 and Tomasz Berkieta at +176, which implies a 74% and 36% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.