Rodrigo Alujas vs Tarun Karra

ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), Hard. Monday, November 2, 2026, 08:30.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Rodrigo Alujas, giving them a 74% chance to win against Tarun Karra (26%). Alujas is 4-6 in their last 10, Karra 6-4. At +900, the odds imply 10% for Tarun Karra, below the model's 26%.

Prediction

The model makes Rodrigo Alujas a 74% favorite. At +900 the sportsbook implies 10% for Tarun Karra, 16 points below the model's 26%.

Model
74%
Book
98%

Model minus book: -24 pts

Model
26%
Book
10%

Model minus book: +16 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Tarun Karra at +900 · Model track record

Player comparison

Rodrigo AlujasTarun Karra
Tennis Gauge rating62525865
Tour rankATP #1344ATP #3769
Last 10 matches4-66-4
Last 30 days1-31-0
Current streak1 Win2 Wins
Season record27-2728-21
UTR12.9412.4

Head to head

Rodrigo Alujas and Tarun Karra haven't played each other in our records.

Recent form

Rodrigo Alujas, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Marco Alvarez W6-2, 6-1
14.10.2026Petros Tsitsipas L6-4, 6-4
13.10.2026Petros Tsitsipas L6-4, 6-4
07.10.2026Max Houkes L6-2, 6-3
01.10.2026Calvin Hemery L6-1, 6-4
30.09.2026Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda W6-3, 6-3
20.08.2026Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo L6-1, 6-1
19.08.2026Martin Antonio Vergara Del Puerto W6-3, 7-5
18.08.2026Nicolas Garcia Longo W6-1, 6-3
11.08.2026Federico Aguilar Cardozo L6-2, 3-6, 6-4

Tarun Karra, last 10

DateOpponentScore
28.10.2026Joaquin Bianchi W6-3, 6-2
28.08.2026Cyrus Ahmad W1-6, 7-6, 7-6
27.08.2026Vincent Weaver L6-3, 6-2
26.08.2026Henrik Bladelius L6-2, 7-5
24.08.2026Aryan Jit Singh W6-4, 6-7, 6-3
26.07.2026Keerthivassan Suresh L6-3, 2-6, 6-4
25.07.2026Kevin Titus Suresh W6-4, 5-7, 6-4
23.07.2026Sandesh Dattatray Kurale W6-3, 6-3
22.07.2026Ajay Malik W6-2, 2-6, 6-3
21.07.2026Varun Verma L7-6, 6-3

Common opponents, last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Earlier previews of this matchup

  • 2026-11-01: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Rodrigo Alujas 74% at -5000
  • 2026-10-31: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Rodrigo Alujas 74% at -5000
  • 2026-10-30: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Rodrigo Alujas 74% at -5000
  • 2026-10-29: ATP Mazatlan (Mexico), model gave Rodrigo Alujas 74% at -1250

Rodrigo Alujas vs Tarun Karra: quick answers

Who will win Rodrigo Alujas vs Tarun Karra?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Rodrigo Alujas, giving them a 74% chance to win against Tarun Karra (26%).

Have Rodrigo Alujas and Tarun Karra played before?

Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.

Who is in better form, Rodrigo Alujas or Tarun Karra?

Rodrigo Alujas is 4-6 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Win). Tarun Karra is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Wins).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Rodrigo Alujas and Tarun Karra?

Rodrigo Alujas is rated 6252 (ATP #1344) and Tarun Karra is rated 5865 (ATP #3769). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Rodrigo Alujas vs Tarun Karra?

Rodrigo Alujas is priced at -5000 and Tarun Karra at +900, which implies a 98% and 10% chance to win. The model rates Tarun Karra 16 points higher than the odds do (26% vs 10%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.