Sebastian Sorger vs Rhys Lawlor

ATP Kingdom Redbridge (United Kingdom), Indoors. Wednesday, October 21, 2026, 04:50.

Updated

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sebastian Sorger, giving them a 79% chance to win against Rhys Lawlor (21%). Sebastian Sorger leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Sorger is 5-5 in their last 10, Lawlor 3-7.

This preview is from Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The result isn't in the database yet.

Pre-match prediction

The model makes Sebastian Sorger a 79% favorite. The odds and the model roughly agree, so neither side shows value.

Model
79%
Book
87%

Model minus book: -8 pts

Model
21%
Book
22%

Model minus book: -1 pts

Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Sebastian Sorger at -667 · Model track record

Player comparison

Sebastian SorgerRhys Lawlor
Tennis Gauge rating65416316
Tour rankATP #440ATP #1094
Last 10 matches5-53-7
Last 30 days1-10-1
Current streak2 Losses5 Losses
Season record43-2811-12
UTR14.1813.21

Head to head

Sebastian Sorger leads 1-0.

DateWinnerScoreTournament
20.10.2026Sebastian Sorger7-5, 6-7, 6-4United Kingdom Redbridge

Recent form

Sebastian Sorger, last 10

DateOpponentScore
24.10.2026Fabian Marozsan L3-6, 6-4, 6-4
21.10.2026Finn Murgett L7-6, 6-4
20.10.2026Rhys Lawlor W7-5, 6-7, 6-4
23.09.2026Stepan Baum L6-4, 2-6, 6-2
07.9.2026Martin Krumich L3-6, 6-4, 6-3
03.09.2026Valerio Aboian L6-7, 6-0, 6-2
01.09.2026Petr Brunclik W7-6, 6-1
29.08.2026Samuele Pieri L4-6, 6-2, 6-4
28.08.2026Giuseppe La Vela W6-3, 6-2
27.08.2026Miha Vetrih W6-0, 6-2

Rhys Lawlor, last 10

DateOpponentScore
27.10.2026James Beaven L6-1, 6-4
20.10.2026Sebastian Sorger L7-5, 6-7, 6-4
06.09.2026Oliver Majdandzic L6-4, 7-6
16.08.2026Nicolas Tepmahc L6-4, 6-2
05.08.2026Lui Maxted L5-7, 6-2, 6-3
03.08.2026Vincent Fletcher W6-4, 6-3
02.08.2026William Mclennaghan W6-4, 6-3
29.07.2026James Story L6-7, 6-3, 6-3
09.07.2026Thijs Boogaard L6-4, 1-6, 4-6
08.07.2026Flynn Thomas W7-5, 6-2

Common opponents, last 12 months

OpponentSebastian SorgerRhys Lawlor
James Story 0-1
L 7-5, 6-4
0-1
L 6-7, 6-3, 6-3

Sebastian Sorger vs Rhys Lawlor: quick answers

Who will win Sebastian Sorger vs Rhys Lawlor?

Tennis Gauge's model favors Sebastian Sorger, giving them a 79% chance to win against Rhys Lawlor (21%).

What is the head-to-head record between Sebastian Sorger and Rhys Lawlor?

Sebastian Sorger leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Sebastian Sorger 7-5, 6-7, 6-4 at United Kingdom Redbridge.

Who is in better form, Sebastian Sorger or Rhys Lawlor?

Sebastian Sorger is 5-5 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Losses). Rhys Lawlor is 3-7 (current streak: 5 Losses).

How does Tennis Gauge rate Sebastian Sorger and Rhys Lawlor?

Sebastian Sorger is rated 6541 (ATP #440) and Rhys Lawlor is rated 6316 (ATP #1094). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.

What are the odds for Sebastian Sorger vs Rhys Lawlor?

Sebastian Sorger is priced at -667 and Rhys Lawlor at +365, which implies a 87% and 22% chance to win. The model and the odds roughly agree, so neither side shows value.