Renata Zarazua vs Xinyu Gao
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Renata Zarazua, giving them a 74% chance to win against Xinyu Gao (26%). Zarazua is 7-3 in their last 10, Gao 4-6. At -208, the odds imply 68% for Renata Zarazua, below the model's 74%.
Prediction
The model makes Renata Zarazua a 74% favorite. At -208 the sportsbook implies 68% for Renata Zarazua, 7 points below the model's 74%.
Model minus book: +7 pts
Model minus book: -16 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Renata Zarazua at -208 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Renata Zarazua | Xinyu Gao | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6892 | 6802 |
| Tour rank | WTA #124 | WTA #192 |
| Last 10 matches | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Last 30 days | 7-2 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 2 Wins | 1 Win |
| Season record | 36-34 | 32-24 |
| UTR | 11.83 | 11.58 |
| Elo (52 weeks) | 1667 | 1548 |
| Best surface | Hard | Hard |
| Worst surface | Grass | Grass |
Head to head
Renata Zarazua and Xinyu Gao haven't played each other in our records.
Recent form
Renata Zarazua, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Lexington Reed | W | 0-6, 6-4, 6-4 |
| 17.10.2026 | Kristina Liutova | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 17.10.2026 | Yeon Woo Ku | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 16.10.2026 | Thea Frodin | W | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 15.10.2026 | Sofia Johnson | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 10.10.2026 | Rebecca Sramkova | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 09.10.2026 | Katarina Zavatska | W | 6-1, 7-6 |
| 07.10.2026 | Darya Astakhova | W | 4-0 |
| 06.10.2026 | Han Shi | W | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 02.10.2026 | Aryna Sabalenka | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
Xinyu Gao, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Thea Frodin | W | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 21.10.2026 | Anastasia Tikhonova | L | 6-1, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Whitney Osuigwe | W | 3-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 13.10.2026 | Akasha Urhobo | L | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 03.10.2026 | Iga Swiatek | L | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 01.10.2026 | Panna Udvardy | W | 6-2, 6-3 |
| 15.09.2026 | Francisca Jorge | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 10.09.2026 | Sofia Johnson | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 09.09.2026 | Elena Micic | W | 6-4, 4-6, 6-2 |
| 28.08.2026 | Barbora Palicova | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Renata Zarazua | Xinyu Gao |
|---|---|---|
| Darja Vidmanova | 0-1 L 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
| Darya Astakhova | 1-0 W 4-0 |
0-1 L 6-4, 6-1 |
| Elena Pridankina | 1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 7-6, 6-2 |
| Han Shi | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-3 |
1-0 W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Lilli Tagger | 0-1 L 6-2, 3-0 |
0-2 L 6-2, 6-4, L 3-6, 7-5, 6-3 |
| Petra Marcinko | 1-0 W 1-6, 6-4, 6-3 |
0-1 L 4-6, 6-3, 6-0 |
| Sofia Johnson | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-1 |
0-1 L 6-2, 6-2 |
| Thea Frodin | 1-0 W 6-3, 6-2 |
1-0 W 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-11-01: WTA New Braunfels (USA), model gave Renata Zarazua 74% at -208
- 2026-10-31: WTA New Braunfels (USA), model gave Renata Zarazua 74% at -208
- 2026-10-30: WTA New Braunfels (USA), model gave Renata Zarazua 74% at -208
- 2026-10-29: WTA New Braunfels (USA), model gave Renata Zarazua 74% at -179
Renata Zarazua vs Xinyu Gao: quick answers
Who will win Renata Zarazua vs Xinyu Gao?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Renata Zarazua, giving them a 74% chance to win against Xinyu Gao (26%).
Have Renata Zarazua and Xinyu Gao played before?
Not in Tennis Gauge's records. This would be their first recorded meeting.
Who is in better form, Renata Zarazua or Xinyu Gao?
Renata Zarazua is 7-3 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 2 Wins). Xinyu Gao is 4-6 (current streak: 1 Win).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Renata Zarazua and Xinyu Gao?
Renata Zarazua is rated 6892 (WTA #124) and Xinyu Gao is rated 6802 (WTA #192). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Renata Zarazua vs Xinyu Gao?
Renata Zarazua is priced at -208 and Xinyu Gao at +143, which implies a 68% and 41% chance to win. The model rates Renata Zarazua 7 points higher than the odds do (74% vs 68%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.