Ren Nakamura vs Taisei Ichikawa
Updated
Taisei Ichikawa beat Ren Nakamura 7-5, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick. Taisei Ichikawa leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Nakamura is 3-7 in their last 10, Ichikawa 5-5.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Taisei Ichikawa a 78% favorite. At +696 the sportsbook implies 13% for Ren Nakamura, 9 points below the model's 22%.
Model minus book: +9 pts
Model minus book: -17 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Ren Nakamura at +696 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Ren Nakamura | Taisei Ichikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6053 | 6374 |
| Tour rank | ATP #2533 | ATP #876 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 5-5 |
| Last 30 days | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Current streak | 5 Losses | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 13-18 | 40-33 |
| UTR | 12.37 | 13.26 |
Head to head
Taisei Ichikawa leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21.10.2026 | Taisei Ichikawa | 7-5, 6-3 | Singapore Singapore |
Recent form
Ren Nakamura, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Adhithya Ganesan | L | 6-3, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Taisei Ichikawa | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 06.09.2026 | Hanyi Liu | L | 6-0, 6-1 |
| 31.08.2026 | Azuma Visaya | L | 6-1, 6-1 |
| 26.08.2026 | Kristjan Tamm | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 23.08.2026 | Aniketh Venkataraman | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 17.08.2026 | Ryuki Matsuda | L | 6-4, 6-2 |
| 16.08.2026 | Aditya Kothari | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 26.07.2026 | Diordan MacAbabbad | W | 6-7, 6-4, 1-0 |
| 22.07.2026 | Keisuke Saitoh | L | 6-4, 6-0 |
Taisei Ichikawa, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25.10.2026 | Hiroki Moriya | L | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 24.10.2026 | Ergi Kirkin | L | 4-6, 6-1, 6-4 |
| 23.10.2026 | Lorenzo Lorusso | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 22.10.2026 | Noah Karma | W | 6-7, 6-4, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Ren Nakamura | W | 7-5, 6-3 |
| 04.10.2026 | Blake Bayldon | L | 7-6, 6-4 |
| 02.10.2026 | Nino Ehrenschneider | L | 1-6, 6-2, 6-2 |
| 01.10.2026 | Yuquan Jin | W | 6-2, 6-1 |
| 30.09.2026 | Anthony Susanto | W | 7-6, 6-1 |
| 14.09.2026 | Timofei Derepasko | L | 7-5, 6-3 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Ren Nakamura | Taisei Ichikawa |
|---|---|---|
| Ryota Tanuma | 0-1 L 6-1, 7-5 |
0-1 L 6-1, 4-6, 1-0 |
| Ryuki Matsuda | 0-1 L 6-4, 6-2 |
1-3 L 6-0, 6-1, L 3-6, 6-2, 6-2, L 2-6, 6-3, 6-2, W 7-5, 6-3 |
| Taketo Takamisawa | 1-0 W 3-6, 7-6, 1-0 |
1-0 W 6-4, 3-6, 6-0 |
Ren Nakamura vs Taisei Ichikawa: quick answers
Who won Ren Nakamura vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Taisei Ichikawa beat Ren Nakamura 7-5, 6-3, matching the Tennis Gauge model's pick.
What is the head-to-head record between Ren Nakamura and Taisei Ichikawa?
Taisei Ichikawa leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 21, 2026, won by Taisei Ichikawa 7-5, 6-3 at Singapore Singapore.
Who is in better form, Ren Nakamura or Taisei Ichikawa?
Ren Nakamura is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 5 Losses). Taisei Ichikawa is 5-5 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Ren Nakamura and Taisei Ichikawa?
Ren Nakamura is rated 6053 (ATP #2533) and Taisei Ichikawa is rated 6374 (ATP #876). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Ren Nakamura vs Taisei Ichikawa?
Ren Nakamura is priced at +696 and Taisei Ichikawa at -2000, which implies a 13% and 95% chance to win. The model rates Ren Nakamura 9 points higher than the odds do (22% vs 13%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.