Reina Goto vs Thea Frodin
Updated
Tennis Gauge's model favors Thea Frodin, giving them a 53% chance to win against Reina Goto (47%). Thea Frodin leads 1-0 in their head-to-head. Goto is 3-7 in their last 10, Frodin 6-4. At +209, the odds imply 32% for Reina Goto, below the model's 47%.
Pre-match prediction
The model makes Thea Frodin a 53% favorite. At +209 the sportsbook implies 32% for Reina Goto, 14 points below the model's 47%.
Model minus book: +14 pts
Model minus book: -19 pts
Model estimates, not betting advice. How the numbers work · Expected value of Reina Goto at +209 · Model track record
Player comparison
| Reina Goto | Thea Frodin | |
|---|---|---|
| Tennis Gauge rating | 6506 | 6611 |
| Tour rank | WTA #538 | WTA #380 |
| Last 10 matches | 3-7 | 6-4 |
| Last 30 days | 1-3 | 5-3 |
| Current streak | 1 Loss | 2 Losses |
| Season record | 41-26 | 27-20 |
| UTR | 11.03 | 11.35 |
Head to head
Thea Frodin leads 1-0.
| Date | Winner | Score | Tournament |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.10.2026 | Thea Frodin | 6-3, 6-1 | USA Austin |
Recent form
Reina Goto, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29.10.2026 | Salakthip Ounmuang | L | 6-2, 6-2 |
| 28.10.2026 | Aspen Schuman | W | 6-4, 6-3 |
| 20.10.2026 | Thea Frodin | L | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 12.10.2026 | Martina Okalova | L | 6-1, 6-2 |
| 29.09.2026 | Kate Fakih | L | 3-6, 6-4, 6-1 |
| 24.09.2026 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon | L | 6-0, 6-2 |
| 23.09.2026 | Johanne Christine Svendsen | W | 6-1, 6-3 |
| 04.08.2026 | Clervie Ngounoue | L | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 03.08.2026 | Hana Evans | W | 6-0, 6-0 |
| 29.07.2026 | Jantje Tilbuerger | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
Thea Frodin, last 10
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.10.2026 | Xinyu Gao | L | 3-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 22.10.2026 | Madison Brengle | L | 7-6, 6-3 |
| 21.10.2026 | Sloane Stephens | W | 6-4, 6-4 |
| 20.10.2026 | Reina Goto | W | 6-3, 6-1 |
| 19.10.2026 | Adriana Reami | W | 6-2, 4-6, 6-4 |
| 18.10.2026 | Nadia Elle Valdez | W | 6-0, 6-4 |
| 16.10.2026 | Renata Zarazua | L | 6-3, 6-2 |
| 13.10.2026 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez | W | 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 |
| 12.10.2026 | Shria Atturu | W | 6-2, 6-0 |
| 08.10.2026 | Diletta Cherubini | L | 4-6, 6-3, 7-6 |
Common opponents, last 12 months
| Opponent | Reina Goto | Thea Frodin |
|---|---|---|
| Hanna Chang | 1-0 W 6-3, 3-6, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-4, 6-1 |
| Martina Okalova | 0-1 L 6-1, 6-2 |
1-0 W 6-7, 6-0, 7-5 |
Earlier previews of this matchup
- 2026-10-20: WTA Austin (XI) (USA), model gave Reina Goto 47% at +209
Reina Goto vs Thea Frodin: quick answers
Who will win Reina Goto vs Thea Frodin?
Tennis Gauge's model favors Thea Frodin, giving them a 53% chance to win against Reina Goto (47%).
What is the head-to-head record between Reina Goto and Thea Frodin?
Thea Frodin leads 1-0. Their most recent meeting was on October 20, 2026, won by Thea Frodin 6-3, 6-1 at USA Austin.
Who is in better form, Reina Goto or Thea Frodin?
Reina Goto is 3-7 in their last 10 matches (current streak: 1 Loss). Thea Frodin is 6-4 (current streak: 2 Losses).
How does Tennis Gauge rate Reina Goto and Thea Frodin?
Reina Goto is rated 6506 (WTA #538) and Thea Frodin is rated 6611 (WTA #380). Ratings update after every match and weight recent results and opponent strength.
What are the odds for Reina Goto vs Thea Frodin?
Reina Goto is priced at +209 and Thea Frodin at -263, which implies a 32% and 72% chance to win. The model rates Reina Goto 14 points higher than the odds do (47% vs 32%), which Tennis Gauge counts as value.